Monday, December 30, 2019

NFL 2019 Week 17 Recap

Hello readers! The final week of the regular season is finished. What happens now is the National Football League's second season: the playoffs. In this post I'll talk about: an NFL 100 spotlight on the 1972 Miami Dolphins and a recap of the week's games. Let's get to work!

NFL 100 Spotlight

In sports, the word perfect is hard to come by. There's the perfect punch that knocked Joe Frazier out by Muhammad Ali in 1968, the perfect putt by Jack Nicklaus in the 1986 Masters, or Don Larsen's perfect game in the 1956 World Series. Only one professional sports team in North American sports achieved a season without a tie or loss was the 1972 Miami Dolphins.

The story of the 1972 Dolphins began on the evening of January 16th, 1972. In only Don Shula's 2nd season as the Dolphins head coach, he lead the Dolphins to their first Super Bowl appearance. The Dolphins were held to 3 points in a 24-3 thrashing by the Dallas Cowboys. It had been Don Shula's 2nd Super Bowl loss in three years. He was the losing head coach in Super Bowl III as the Baltimore Colts head coach.

Don Shula's focus for the 1972 season was clear. The team wouldn't have a loss like that in that Super Bowl and if they had to go undefeated, they would do that such of a thing. As far as actually going undefeated, it probably was the farthest thing from their minds. Winning a championship was their goal.

The closest that the Dolphins came to losing was in a Week 3 match-up against the Minnesota Vikings on the road. Miami was down by 5 points in the closing minutes of the 4th quarter. Quarterback Bob Griese marched the Dolphins down the field and threw a 3-yard pass to Jim Mandich for the game-winning score.

During a Week 5 match-up against the San Diego Chargers, Bob Griese would be lost for a couple of months due to injury. The offense was now fronted by 38 year-old Earl Morrall. He was older than some of the Dolphins head coaches. In fact, they put up a rocking chair beside Morrall's locker. The hardy veteran kept winning games for the Dolphins.

The playoffs for the Dolphins were daunting. In the divisonal round, they would squeak by the Cleveland Browns 20-14. The NFL playoffs rotated by division at that time. As a result, the Dolphins would have to play on the road at Three Rivers Stadium against the Pittsburgh Steelers. The week before the AFC championship game was the "Immaculate Reception" play.

The offense struggled during the first half of the AFC Championship Game. Don Shula would make a quarterback change at halftime. Bob Griese would give life to the Dolphins as they would beat the Steelers 21-17 enroute to their consecutive Super Bowl appearance.

Super Bowl VII was Don Shula's 3rd Super Bowl appearance in 5 years. Another loss would be heartbreaking for the coach, but a win would seal the Dolphins place in history. The "No Name Defense" (named after Tom Landry) would hinder the Washington Redskins offense helpless. They forced three turnovers and held Redskins running back Larry Brown to 72 yards. The Dolphins offense scored enough points with two touchdowns: A 28-yard pass play from Griese to Wide Receiver Howard Twilley and a 1-yard rush from Jim Kiick.

In a play that would've made the game 17-0 in a 17-0 season. Garo Ypremian would have the kick blocked and attempted to throw a pass and would misfire. The gaffe would be returned by Redskins player Mike Bass for a 49-yard fumble return for a touchdown. While the Dolphins chance of having a shutout was dead, any chance for the Redskins to win was far from it. Don Shula's redemption was achieved and the Dolphins had completed their mission to go undefeated.

The 1972 Miami Dolphins are the only team in NFL history to win every game in their season without a loss or tie. The team wasn't necessarily the best when it came to strength of schedule. The Dolphins in 1973 would win the Super Bowl again but would finish the season with two losses. While they did lose a few games, they played better opponents. You could certainly argue that the 1973 Dolphins were better than the 1972 Dolphins but I feel you have to look at the record.

What made the team special was they were good in every area of a football team. They had one of the best offensive lines in NFL history nicknamed "The Expendables" and had a great defense. It would have to be their running attack that made them special. While they had Larry Czonka and Jim Kiick, they also had a great running back in Mercury Morris. Both Czonka and Morris would get 1000 yards rushing. What made the team special was that they won together, as a team.


Week 17 Recap

In 2017, the first season in the Blogspot era (4th overall season as a blogger) Cardinal Viking (my former roommate) won in picks. In 2018, both me and Cardinal Viking ended up with a tie. As for the 2019 season, we shall see who won in picks this year. Let's get started:

Green Bay 23, Detroit 20: TW: Packers; CV: Lions

The game was fairly ugly but somehow the Packers got some luck and won. Aaron Rodgers finished the game with 323 yards with two touchdowns while throwing an interception late in the 4th quarter. Aaron Jones had a stellar day with 100 rushing yards. David Blough finished the game with 122 yards with an interception. Danny Amendola would throw a 19-yard pass to David Blough for a touchdown. Ty Johnson was the leading rusher for Detroit with 65 yards but Kerryon Johnson ran the ball for 53 yards with a touchdown. With a first-round bye, the Packers needed it.

All-time series: Packers lead 102-72-1

TW: 1-0; CV: 0-1

Cleveland 23, Cincinnati 33: TW: Browns; CV: Browns

The Freddie Kitchens era is over. Baker Mayfield would finish the game with 279 yards with three touchdowns but threw three interceptions. Nick Chubb wouldn't get a lot on the ground game as he finished with 41 yards. Andy Dalton finished with 190 yards with a touchdown and an interception. The leading rusher for the game was Joe Mixon with 162 yards with two touchdowns. Andy Dalton would get 10 yards with a rushing touchdown as well. Cleveland will have to hire their 8th head coach since 2009.

All-time series: Bengals lead 51-41

TW: 1-1; CV: 0-2

Chicago 21, Minnesota 19: TW: Vikings; CV: Bears

Da Bears finish with an 8-8 season. Mitchell Trubisky threw for 207 yards but wouldn't throw for a touchdown nor an interception. Devin Montgomery had a solid day on the ground as he ran for 113 yards with a touchdown. Sean Mannion would start for Minnesota. He finished with 126 yards with two interceptions. Mike Boone would start the game at running back, finishing with 148 yards with a touchdown. It was a fairly meaningless game for the Vikings which have a tough road ahead going into the playoffs, traveling to New Orleans in the Wild-Card round.

All-time series: Vikings lead 60-56-2

TW: 1-2; CV: 1-2

LA Chargers 21, Kansas City 31: TW: Chiefs; CV: Chiefs

The crowd made more noise when the Dolphins beat the Patriots than their own team beat the Chargers. Philip Rivers threw the ball for 281 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. Certainly less than their previous meeting in Mexico City. Melvin Gordon finished the game with 46 yards with a touchdown. Patrick Mahomes threw for 174 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Mahomes also ran for 21 yards. Damien Williams was the leading rusher in the game with 124 yards with two touchdowns. Kansas City will have a 1st-round bye. 

All-time series: Chiefs lead 63-56-1

TW: 2-2; CV: 2-2

Miami 27, New England 24: TW: Patriots; CV: Patriots

For the first time since 2009, the Patriots will play on Wild-Card weekend. Ryan Fitzpatrick threw the ball for 320 yards with a touchdown. Fitzpatrick would also get 15 yards rushing with a touchdown as well. Patrick Laird was the leading rusher for Miami with 21 yards. Tom Brady finished the game with 221 yards with two touchdowns with an interception. Sony Michel ran the ball for 74 yards with a touchdown. The Patriots will play the Titans next weekend. 

All-time series: Dolphins lead 56-53

TW: 2-3; CV: 2-3

NY Jets 13, Buffalo 6: TW: Bills; CV: Jets

It was a meaningless game. Sam Darnold threw the ball for 199 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Le'Veon Bell was the leading rusher in the game with 41 yards. Matt Barkley started for Buffalo and finished with 232 yards with two interceptions, Josh Allen would enter the game but would only get 5 yards passing. Ian McKenzie ran for 30 yards on two carries while Frank Gore ran for 26 yards. Buffalo will go to Houston next weekend. 

All-time series: Bills lead 63-56

TW: 2-4; CV: 3-3

New Orleans 42, Carolina 10: TW: Saints; CV: Saints

They may have not gotten a first-round bye but they're quite possibly an underrated team heading into the playoffs. Drew Brees threw for 253 yards with three touchdowns. Latavius Murray ran for 61 yards while Alvin Kamara ran for 39 yards with two touchdowns. Kyle Allen started for Carolina and threw for 295 yards while throwing an interception. Will Grier would see some action as well but would only throw for four yards with an interception. Christian McCaffrey ran for 26 yards with a touchdown while gaining 72 yards. The Saints will host the Vikings next weekend.

All-time series: Saints lead 26-25

TW: 3-4; CV: 4-3

Atlanta 28, Tampa Bay 22 (F/OT): TW: Falcons; CV: Buccaneers

The Buccaneers season finished much like how it started: with an interception. Matt Ryan threw for 313 yards with a touchdown. Devonta Freeman ran for 58 yards while not scoring a touchdown. Jameis Winston threw the ball for 201 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. Ronald Jones ran for 106 yards with no touchdowns. Deion Jones put the icing on the cake with a pick-six into the Overtime period. 

All-time series: Falcons lead 28-25

TW: 4-4; CV: 4-4

Washington 16, Dallas 47: TW: Cowboys; CV: Cowboys

The Bruce Allen Era is over in Washington but it doesn't help that they got hung 47 against the Cowboys. Case Keenum threw for 206 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Adrian Peterson ran the ball for 78 yards. Dak Prescott had a good game with 303 yards with four touchdowns. Ezekiel Elliot ran for 122 yards with a touchdown. Where was this Cowboys team a week ago? 

All-time series: Cowboys lead 73-45-2

TW: 5-4; CV: 5-4

Indianapolis 20, Jacksonville 38: TW: Colts; CV: Colts

Minshewmania returns! Jacoby Brissett threw for 162 yards but didn't throw a touchdown pass in the game. Marlon Mack ran for 77 yards while scoring two touchdowns. Gardner Minshew turned in one of his better performances of the season, finishing with 295 yards with three touchdowns and one interception. Ryquell Armstead ran for 33 yards but didn't get a touchdown. Give Gardner some defense next season!

All-time series: Colts lead 24-14

TW: 5-5; CV: 5-5

Arizona 24, LA Rams 31: TW: Rams; CV: Cardinals

It was a winning season for the Rams, at least. Kyler Murray threw for 325 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. Kenyan Drake ran the ball for 60 yards with a touchdown. Jared Goff threw the ball for 319 yards with three touchdowns. Todd Gurley was the leading rusher for the Rams with 68 yards while Malcolm Brown ran for 26 yards with a touchdown. Final game at LA Coliseum for the Rams. 

All-time series: Rams lead 43-38-2

TW: 6-5; CV: 5-6

Oakland 15, Denver 16: TW: Broncos; CV: Raiders

Bittersweet moment for the Raiders but they move to better pastures in Las Vegas next week. Derek Carr threw the ball for 391 yards with a touchdown. DeAndre Washington ran the ball for 77 yards. Drew Lock threw for 177 yards with a touchdown pass. Philip Lindsay ran for 53 yards. Not much else to say about this one. 

All-time series: 65-54-2

TW: 7-5; CV: 5-7

Philadelphia 34, NY Giants 17: TW: Eagles; CV: Eagles

It was a beautiful moment to watch Jerry Jones turn away from the television knowing his team won't be in the playoffs. Carson Wentz did fine in the game with 289 yards with a touchdown. Boston Scott ran for 54 yards with three touchdowns while Miles Sanders ran for 52 yards. Scott would also get 84 yards receiving. Daniel Jones threw for 301 yards with a touchdown while throwing an interception. Saquon Barkley ran for 92 yards with a touchdown. Philly hosts the Seahawks next week.

All-time series: Eagles lead 87-85-2

TW: 8-5; CV: 6-7

Tennessee 35, Houston 14: TW: Titans; CV: Texans

Mike Vrabel gets to play/coach against his former team in the Wild Card round next week. Ryan Tannehill threw for 198 yards with a couple of touchdowns. Derrick Henry had a stellar day on the ground with 211 yards with three touchdowns, his longest run was from 53 yards. AJ McCarron would get the start for Houston with DeShaun Watson resting for next week. McCarron threw for 225 yards with an interception. McCarron ran for 39 yards with a touchdown while Taiwan Jones was the leading rusher with 40 yards. The Titans go to Foxboro next weekend. Houston will host the Bills next weekend as well

All-time series: Titans lead 19-17

TW: 9-5; CV: 6-8

Pittsburgh 10, Baltimore 28: TW: Ravens; CV: Ravens

It was an icing on the cake to a great season. Devlin Hodges didn't do much as he threw for 95 yards while not throwing a touchdown. Benny Snell ran for 91 yards with a touchdown. Robert Griffin III would get the start, as to be expected, and threw for 96 yards while throwing a pick. He would also get 50 yards rushing. Justice Hill would get a rushing touchdown while getting 39 yards. Gus Edwards had a great day on the ground with 130 yards. Baltimore has the first-round bye.

All-time series: Steelers lead 28-24

TW: 10-5; CV: 7-8

San Francisco 26, Seattle 21: TW: 49ers; CV: Seahawks

The final game of the regular season was entertaining. Jimmy Garoppolo threw for 285 yards with zero touchdowns or interceptions. Raheem Mostert ran for 57 yards with two touchdowns while Deebo Samuel ran for 33 yards with a touchdown. Russell Wilson threw for 233 yards with two touchdowns. Travis Homer ran the ball for 62 yards. The game also saw the return of Marshawn Lynch to Seattle as the veteran ran for 34 yards with a touchdown. As well as a bag of skittles to go along with it. San Francisco will have a first-round bye while the Seahawks will travel to Philadelphia. 

All-time series: 26-17

TW: 11-5; CV: 7-9

The Records (By Week & Year):

Cardinal Viking:
2017: 167-89
2018: 156-98-2

2019:
Week 1: 11-4-1
Week 2: 10-6
Week 3: 10-6
Week 4: 7-8
Week 5: 9-6
Week 6: 7-7
Week 7: 10-4
Week 8: 11-4
Week 9: 8-6
Week 10: 2-11
Week 11: 12-2
Week 12: 9-5
Week 13: 8-8
Week 14: 9-7
Week 15: 10-6
Week 16: 11-5
Week 17: 7-9
Overall: 151-104-1

My record: 
2012: 164-90-2
2013: 162-92-1
2014: 172-83-1
2017: 164-92
2018: 156-98-2

2019:
Week 1: 12-3-1
Week 2: 10-6
Week 3: 11-5
Week 4: 8-7
Week 5: 5-10
Week 6: 9-5
Week 7: 7-7
Week 8: 14-1
Week 9: 8-6
Week 10: 5-8
Week 11: 10-4
Week 12: 10-4
Week 13: 10-6
Week 14: 9-7
Week 15: 10-6
Week 16: 12-4
Week 17: 11-5
Overall: 161-94-1

Looks like I won this year in picks! When it comes to prizes, there are none, just bragging rights. In truth, win or lose, I still technically kind of win since I write the blog. Sorry Cardinal Viking, better luck next year. Anyway, look out for the Wild Card Picks post on Friday. 

-Tom

Friday, December 27, 2019

NFL 2019 Week 17 Picks

Hello readers! The last week of the National Football League's regular season is upon us. There might not be so much playoff drama as past years but keep an eye on seedings in both conferences. It can make a difference for those who will play on the road and those who will play at home. In this post I'll have the latest playoff picture, an NFL 100 spotlight on the 1985 Bears, and my picks for the Week 17 games. Let's get to work!

Playoff Picture: Week 17

Let's start with the NFC:

1st seed: San Francisco 49ers (12-3) (clinched playoff berth)
2nd seed: Green Bay Packers (12-3) (clinched NFC North)
3rd seed: New Orleans Saints (12-3) (clinched NFC South)
4th seed: Philadelphia Eagles (8-7)
5th seed: Seattle Seahawks (11-4) (clinched playoff berth)
6th seed: Minnesota Vikings (10-5) (clinched playoff berth)

Wild card:

Minnesota @ New Orleans
Seattle @ Philadelphia

Still alive:
Dallas Cowboys (7-8)

Eliminated:
Everyone else not mentioned... too lazy.

For the Eagles to win the NFC East they need to win or tie or Cowboys loss or tie. Same thing for Cowboys. The 49ers can win the NFC West with a win or tie. Same for Seahawks.

AFC:

1st seed: Baltimore Ravens (13-2) (clinched home-field advantage and AFC North)
2nd seed: New England Patriots (12-3) (clinched AFC East)
3rd seed: Kansas City Chiefs (11-4) (clinched AFC West)
4th seed: Houston Texans (10-5) (clinched AFC South)
5th seed: Buffalo Bills (clinched playoff berth)
6th seed: Tennessee Titans

Wild card:

Tennessee @ Kansas City
Buffalo @ Houston

Still alive:
Pittsburgh Steelers (8-7), Oakland Raiders (7-8)

Eliminated:
Everyone else not mentioned.

The Raiders are still alive but need a lot of help. Help such as: Raiders win + Steelers loss + Titans loss + Colts win. Steelers can get in with a win + Titans loss or tie.

NFL 100: A Spotlight

In 1963, George Halas and the Chicago Bears won their 8th NFL championship. It would be Halas's last championship as the head coach of the Bears. He would retire after the 1968 season and would remain with the team as an executive until his death in 1983. One of his best decisions before he died was hiring his former player, Mike Ditka, as the new head coach in 1982.

The Bears after 1963 were in a steady decline that lasted for 12 years. From 1964 to 1976 they would endure their worst stretch in franchise history, achieving only 4 winning seasons during that stretch. Their fortunes were starting to change when the team drafted Walter Payton. After two playoff appearances and two head coach firings, Walter Payton was in the climax of his career when Mike Ditka was hired.

One of the masterminds in the team's coaching was Buddy Ryan. Ryan had been the defensive coordinator for the Bears since the 1978 season. Within reason, he felt that he was destined to be the next head coach in line after Neill Armstrong's firing after the 1981 season. Perhaps the hiring of Ditka left Ryan with some bitter feelings as the two didn't get along during the three years they were coaches.

Mike Ditka's first year as head coach in 1982 didn't result in success as the team finished with 3-6 in the strike shortened season. Their luck was turning as Mike Singletary was molding the Bears defense into one of the best as the Bears finished with a 8-8 record in 1983.

The Bears reached the playoffs in 1984 with a 10-6 record. They won their first playoff game since the 1963 championship against the defending conference champion Washington Redskins. The victory costed them with a Jim McMahon, the Bears quarterback, with an injury. Without McMahon, the Bears were shutout against the San Francisco 49ers 23-0 in the NFC championship game.

The message for the 1985 Bears was clear. Nearly three seasons and a playoff appearance under Mike Ditka's belt, it felt that the Bears were destined for a championship run. The offense lead by Jim McMahon and Walter Payton was in the best shape. They were overshadowed by the defense lead by Buddy Ryan.

During the first part of the season, the defense would have to rely on the offense to win games as the Bears defense was still trying to find its footing. One of those wins was the "Viking Miracle" as an injured McMahon lead the Bears to a comeback win on the road against the Vikings. After that game the message was clear to the defense "you have to work to make it happen."

The season would feature low scores against the opponents. During a game against the 49ers, Mike Ditka employed William "The Fridgerator" Perry as a fullback. The Bears won easily 26-10 in Candlestick Park. One of the biggest games for the defense was the 44-0 thrashing against the Dallas Cowboys (whom the Bears had not won against since 1971). Mike Ditka was an assistant coach and player with Cowboys head coach Tom Landry. The loss would be the Cowboys worst loss in franchise history.

What made the Bears defense special was Buddy Ryan's conceived defense called the "46 defense" named after strong safety Doug Plank. The idea of the defense was to put eight men in the box, six men on the line of scrimmage. The result was to cause as much pressure and chaos to the offense as much as possible. NFL offenses at that time were more on a play-action style that needed time for the play to develop. You couldn't get enough time when there were six defenders heading toward your quarterback. It would be Mike Singletary, Richard Dent, Otis Wilson, Wilber Marshall, William Perry, and Gary Fencik that created such pressure. Offenses had no answer for it. If you blocked or double-teamed one player, it would leave holes for other players to get in.

The Bears would finish 15-1 with their lone loss coming against the Miami Dolphins. It would be Dan Marino that would show the world the 46 defense's Achilles heel. The weakness of the defense was over committing too many people to the line of scrimmage. If you had enough time and some empty spaces off to the sides of the field, you had a chance to beat your team deep. Nevertheless the Bears would trounce the competition in the playoffs.

They would get back-to-back playoff shutouts against the New York Giants and Los Angeles Rams with scores of 21-0 and 24-0 respectively. Their performance in Super Bowl XX was one for the ages. They easily handled the AFC Champion New England Patriots 46-10 (perhaps ironic that they scored 46). The victory would come at a cost.

Prior to the game Buddy Ryan would accept a head coaching position with the Philadelphia Eagles. His players would pay their respects and play a defensive game for the ages. Buddy Ryan wouldn't find the same success as getting to a Super Bowl as Eagles head coach, neither did Mike Ditka after Buddy Ryan left.

The 1985 Bears were truly a one-year wonder team. Prior to the year they couldn't find an offense to get them over the hump. After 1985 they struggled to find an identity on defense when Buddy Ryan left. The Bears would lose to the Washington Redskins 27-13 in the 1986 playoffs. While they might've had one great year with one of the greatest defenses in NFL history, their place in NFL history has to be mentioned in high respect, even from a Packer fan.


Week 17 Picks

All 32 teams will play on Sunday. There will be eight early games, seven late games, and a Sunday night game. Both FOX and CBS will have double-headers while NBC will have the Sunday night game. Here are the picks:

Green Bay (12-3) @ Detroit (3-11-1) (FOX): TW: Packers; CV: Lions

The Packers beat the Vikings and the Lions lost to the Broncos last week. At one point the Lions were 2-1-1 going into a game against the Packers. After that game, the Lions went 1-10 the rest of the way. With the possibility of playing for the #1 seed in the playoffs, I feel the Packers will be focused on trying to get a win and take care of business on their end. I can't trust David Blough to suddenly become Matthew Stafford reborn and absolutely torch the Packers defense that surrendered only 10 points last week to the Vikings. I'll place my hope on the Pack.

Cleveland (6-9) @ Cincinatti (1-14) (FOX): TW: Browns; CV: Browns

Both teams lost last week as the Browns lost to the Ravens and the Bengals lost to the Dolphins. Disappointing would be an understatement for the Cleveland Browns season. They can salvage it with a win which would put them at 7-9. It certainly could be Freddie Kitchen's last game as head coach. In general I feel the Browns have more talent on both sides of the ball and the Bengals defense is not that great to begin with. I'll take the Brownies.

Chicago (7-8) @ Minnesota (10-5) (FOX): TW: Vikings; CV: Bears

Both teams lost last week as the Bears lost to the Chiefs and the Vikings lost to the Packers. Minnesota's placement in the playoffs won't likely change win or lose. If Dalvin Cook doesn't play in this game it could be very difficult for the Vikes to get anything from the ground game, as evident from their performance against Green Bay. I'll take the Vikings based off of their quarterback play and defensive performance. This can't possibly be like their previous meeting in Week 4.

LA Chargers (5-10) @ Kansas City (11-4) (CBS): TW: Chiefs; CV: Chiefs

The Chargers lost to the Raiders and the Chiefs beat the Bears last week. Kansas City has a unique opportunity to get a first round bye with the possiblilty with a Patriots loss (assuming the Chiefs win). Philip Rivers has been a turnover machine this season and will likely continue into the last game of the season. I'm going with the Chiefs based on that if Patrick Mahomes does get rest in the game, Matt Moore could get some playing time and he has done well in Mahomes' stead when he was injured. Its also a safe bet.

Miami (4-11) @ New England (12-3) (CBS): TW: Patriots; CV: Patriots

Both teams had wins last week as the Dolphins beat the Bengals and the Patriots beat the Bills. It could be over by halftime to be honest. Tom Brady would have to have a terrible game for the Dolphins to have a shot to win. I don't really see it happening as they have a capable running game to match.

NY Jets (6-9) @ Buffalo (10-5) (CBS): TW: Bills; CV: Jets

The Jets beat the Steelers and the Bills lost to the Patriots last week. It's a meaningless game for the Bills as they could lose and it won't affect their playoff positioning. Could Sam Darnold cause a bit of a shakeup in the Bills momentum going into the playoffs? It's possible but the Bills defense is pretty good and in the match-up with the Jets, I tend to lean towards Buffalo. Just a hunch.

New Orleans (12-3) @ Carolina (5-10) (FOX): TW: Saints; CV: Saints

The Saints beat the Titans and the Panthers lost to the Colts last week. As for resting the Saints starters, the answer is no. With an opportunity to get homefield-advantage in the playoffs is a must to get a win and hope for the best. Carolina could make it an interesting game but their quarterback situation is somewhat of a mess and their defense is suspect. I'll take Naw'lins.

Atlanta (6-9) @ Tampa Bay (7-8) (FOX): TW: Falcons; CV: Buccaneers

The Falcons beat the Jaguars and the Buccaneers lost to the Texans. Tampa missed an opportunity to get at least a guaranteed .500 season last week against the Texans. Atlanta is 5-2 since going 1-7 to start the season. The news of Dan Quinn returning could either mean good news or bad news for Falcons fans. Jameis Winston will throw touchdowns but its almost a guarantee that he will throw more, let alone equal, number of interceptions. I'll go on a whim and take Atlanta.

Washington (3-12) @ Dallas (7-8) (FOX): TW: Cowboys; CV: Cowboys

The Redskins lost to the Giants and the Cowboys lost to the Eagles last week. Dallas has underachieved this season and the worst thing they could do is lose at home in the season finale when they had potential to get a win and a possible playoff spot. I'll take Dallas because they will play angry and just crush the Redskins.

Indianapolis (7-8) @ Jacksonville (5-10) (CBS): TW: Colts; CV: Colts

The Colts beat the Panthers and the Jaguars lost to the Falcons last week. Indianapolis has had a good season without Andrew Luck at quarterback. Jacksonville has potential to build around Gardner Minshew. I want to take Jacksonville in the game but I feel the Colts will win based on their better talent on offense. Best of luck, Doug Marrone.

Arizona (5-9-1) @ LA Rams (8-7) (FOX): TW: Rams; CV: Cardinals

The Cardinals beat the Seahawks and the Rams lost to the 49ers last week. It'll be the last game at the Los Angeles Coliseum as the Rams will move into a new stadium next season. The Rams have had a disappointing season after making it to the Super Bowl last year. They can get some pride back with a win against the hapless Cardinals. I'm leaning towards the Rams as they have better talent on both sides of the ball. Hard to say if Larry Fitzgerald will come back for another season.

Oakland (7-8) @ Denver (6-9) (CBS): TW: Broncos; CV: Raiders

The Raiders beat the Chargers and the Broncos beat the Lions last week. The last game where the Raiders franchise will use the "Oakland" moniker (unless the football gods give them the luck of lucks). Josh Jacobs is listed as doubtful in playing in the game. As much as I want to believe that DeAndre Washington is a capable running back, I like the Broncos with their better run game and decent defense.

Philadelphia (8-7) @ NY Giants (4-11) (FOX): TW: Eagles; CV: Eagles

Both teams won last week as the Eagles beat the Cowboys and the Giants beat the Redskins. While the Cowboys are playing for their playoff lives, the Eagles will try to hold off the Giants. All the Eagles have to do is win and they will be in. New York could make it an interesting game as the spoiler but the leadership and confidence of Carson Wentz is hard to beat. I'll take the Iggles.

Tennessee (8-7) @ Houston (10-5) (CBS): TW: Titans; CV: Texans

The Titans lost to the Saints and the Texans beat the Buccaneers last week. Ryan Tannehill and company have an opportunity to get into the playoffs during a season where it seemed that Marcus Mariota was leading them down to a possible losing season. If they lose they can still get in with a Steelers loss. I'll take the Titans on a whim with Derrick Henry playing well.

Pittsburgh (8-7) @ Baltimore (13-2) (CBS): TW: Ravens; CV: Ravens

The Steelers lost to the Jets and the Ravens beat the Browns last week. It's possible for Pittsburgh to get a win but they need some help, such as a Titans loss, in order to get into the playoffs. Baltimore will likely be resting their players such as Lamar Jackson so it will mean Robert Griffin III will get a start. I like RGIII in the match-up against either Devlin Hodges or Mason Rudolph. It seems stacked against the Steelers which doesn't bode well for them, I'll take B-More.

San Francisco (12-3) @ Seattle (11-4) (NBC): TW: 49ers; CV: Seahawks

The 49ers beat the Rams and the Seahawks lost to the Cardinals. Seattle missed an opportunity to be in a better position with that loss to the Cardinals last week. They played poor against them which doesn't bode well for them against a 49ers team that looks to capture the #1 seed in the NFC. I'm taking the 49ers as they want it more than Seattle in my opinion. It'll be a shootout but I feel the 49ers defense will hold off the Seahawks onslaught.

Local TV Schedule (courtesy of 506sports.com)

CBS Early:
LA Chargers @ Kansas City
Kevin Harlan, Rich Gannon

CBS Late:
Tennessee @ Houston
Jim Nantz, Tony Romo

FOX Early:
Chicago @ Minnesota
Dick Stockton, Mark Schlereth

FOX Late:
Philadelphia @ NY Giants
Thom Brennamen, Chris Spielman

For more information on which game is being played in your area, check out: NFL 2019 Week 17 Maps


The Records (By Week & Year):

Cardinal Viking:
2017: 167-89
2018: 156-98-2

2019:
Week 1: 11-4-1
Week 2: 10-6
Week 3: 10-6
Week 4: 7-8
Week 5: 9-6
Week 6: 7-7
Week 7: 10-4
Week 8: 11-4
Week 9: 8-6
Week 10: 2-11
Week 11: 12-2
Week 12: 9-5
Week 13: 8-8
Week 14: 9-7
Week 15: 10-6
Week 16: 11-5
Overall: 144-95-1

My record: 
2012: 164-90-2
2013: 162-92-1
2014: 172-83-1
2017: 164-92
2018: 156-98-2

2019:
Week 1: 12-3-1
Week 2: 10-6
Week 3: 11-5
Week 4: 8-7
Week 5: 5-10
Week 6: 9-5
Week 7: 7-7
Week 8: 14-1
Week 9: 8-6
Week 10: 5-8
Week 11: 10-4
Week 12: 10-4
Week 13: 10-6
Week 14: 9-7
Week 15: 10-6
Week 16: 12-4
Overall: 150-89-1

See you guys on Monday for the Week 17 recap post! 
-Tom

Monday, December 23, 2019

NFL 2019 Week 16 Recap

Hello readers! Another week of National Football League action has gone by. The second to last week of the regular season has finished, with one week to go before the NFL's second season comes. This post will have an NFL 100 spotlight on the 1990's Buffalo Bills and the recap of the week's games. Let's get to work!

NFL 100: A Spotlight

History is written by the winners. At least as the old saying goes. Much goes the same with the National Football League as most people will remember who won a championship and the team who didn't. What if I told you there was a team that is remembered for going to the big game not once, not twice, certainly not three, but four straight times. The only team to do it was the 1990-1993 Buffalo Bills.

It had been 25 years since the city of Buffalo, New York saw its football team win a league championship. The 1964 and 1965 Buffalo Bills were the only team in the AFL's short history to win the league championship in consecutive years. From 1967 to 1987, the Buffalo Bills would endure one of their toughest stretches in franchise history, producing only four winning seasons during that year with three playoff appearances.

The Bills luck was starting to change with the inclusion of Jim Kelly (who was originally drafted by Buffalo in the 1983 draft but bolted to the USFL) at quarterback, Bruce Smith at defensive end, and Marv Levy (who would finish 1986 with a 2-5 record) at head coach.

By 1990, the Bills added such talents like Andre Reed, Thurman Thomas, Trumaine Johnson, and Darryl Talley. The Bills made the playoffs in 1988 and 1989 but couldn't make it to the Super Bowl. The team was destined to be the next biggest thing.

The 1990 Bills was a magical season. The team finished with 13-3 record and earned the top seed in the playoffs. They even beat the New York Giants, their future Super Bowl opponent, on the road in a close 17-13 win. They would easily handle the Dolphins and Raiders en route to their first Super Bowl appearance. 

Thurman Thomas would have a great day on the ground but the Bills passing game was grounded due to the masterful gameplan by Giants defensive coordinator Bill Belichek. It ultimately came down to Scott Norwood to hit a field goal to give the Bills the win. The kick was good but the ball was mere inches from making it, going wide right. They failed to win the Super Bowl but they were still a young team that hoped to win it next year.

They would return in 1991 with an identical 13-3 record to 1990. The Bills would beat the Chiefs and Broncos in the AFC Playoffs to get to their consecutive Super Bowl appearance. Their opponent was the Washington Redskins. 

The game would end up being worst than the year before as the Bills lost to the Redskins 37-24. The game was known for two things: Thurman Thomas's missing helmet and Bills defensive line coach Chuck Dickerson mocking the Redskins offensive line "The Hogs" before the game. Two straight losses were mounting but the window was still open.

The 1992 Bills would prove to be a tough test for Marv Levy and company as the Bills finished with a 11-5 record, getting into the playoffs as a wild-card team. During the Wild-card round against the Houston Oilers, Jim Kelly was out of the game with an injury. Frank Reich would have to guide the Bills out of a 35-3 deficit in the 3rd quarter. The Bills would finish the game with a 38-10 run to beat the Oilers in overtime. It was the biggest comeback in NFL history. They would finish the playoffs beating the Pittsburgh Steelers and Miami Dolphins to their 3rd straight championship apperance.

The Cowboys were their opponent, a young team that had talent on both sides of the ball. Dallas would get to Jim Kelly early and knock Kelly out and put Reich in. There would be no comeback for the Bills as the Cowboys routed them in a 52-17 loss. The losses were beginning to mount and at least one more year of their window was still left. 

The Buffalo Bills in 1993 had a better year, record wise, with a 12-4 finish. They would exact some revenge on the Cowboys with a 13-10 win in Week 2. The Bills would enter the playoffs with a first-round bye and would beat the Raiders and Chiefs in the playoffs to get to their 4th straight championship appearance. Perhaps, this would finally be their year. 

For the consecutive year, their opponent that stood between them and the Lombardi trophy was the Dallas Cowboys. The first half wasn't a blowout but the Bills maintained a 10-6 halftime lead, their only halftime lead during those years. Buffalo forgot to play in the 2nd half as the Cowboys would go on a 24-7 scoring run to beat the Bills 30-13. Four straight times to the Super Bowl and all four times they lost. 

The Bills would fail to make the playoffs in 1994 but would return to the postseason in 1995 and 1996 but ultimately failed to make it back to the big game. Their window was closed. Marv Levy would continue to coach the team until he retired after the 1997 season. 

The 1990's Bills legacy is certainly mixed by NFL fans. They went to four straight Super Bowls. At that time, they joined the Minnesota Vikings and Denver Broncos as the only teams to lose four of those games before winning their first (then Denver won the big game in 1997 and 1998). Some of the biggest names in NFL history never made it to a Super Bowl. Such names like Dan Fouts, Jim Brown, OJ Simpson, and Barry Sanders never made it to the big game. To make it to a Super Bowl is a tough challenge unto itself but to make it four times in a row is an achievement. Their place in NFL history may not be remembered as being a winner but they have to be one that has to be mentioned. 



Week 16 Recap

Houston 23, Tampa Bay 20: TW: Buccaneers; CV: Texans

The game started at 1:00 pm Eastern. Jameis Winston would throw his first interception at 1:02 pm Eastern. DeShaun Watson threw for 184 yards with an interception. He would run the ball for 37 yards while Carlos Hyde ran for 27 yards with a touchdown. Jameis Winston would throw for more yards as he finished with 335 yards with a touchdown but threw four interceptions (three were in the first half). Ronald Jones would finish with 77 yards rushing with a touchdown, his longest was from 49 yards. Despite the five turnovers by Tampa, the Texans wasn't dominating like they should've. Typical Houston. 

All-time series: Texans lead 4-1

Next week: Houston: vs Tennessee; Tampa Bay: vs Atlanta

TW: 0-1; CV: 1-0

Buffalo 17, New England 24: TW: Patriots; CV: Bills

Pretty entertaining game but New England earned its 11th straight AFC East title. Josh Allen did fine in the game with 208 yards passing with two touchdowns while running it for 43 yards. Devin Singletary was the leading rusher for Buffalo with 46 yards. Tom Brady returned to his old self with 271 yards passing with a touchdown and zero interceptions. Sony Michel was the leading rusher in the game with 96 yards. Rex Burkhead had 20 yards rushing with a touchdown. Not an easy division title clincher but all in a day's work for them. 

All-time series: Patriots 76-34-1

Next week: Buffalo: vs NY Jets; New England: vs Miami

TW: 1-1; CV: 1-1

LA Rams 31, San Francisco 34: TW: 49ers; CV: 49ers

Emmanuel Sanders would give Robbie Gould a chance to get a tough win against the rival Rams. Jared Goff threw the ball for 323 yards with two touchdowns with an interception. Todd Gurley ran the ball for 48 yards with two touchdowns. Jimmy Garoppolo threw the ball for 248 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. Raheem Mostert and Deebo Samuel both scored rushing touchdowns while getting 53 and 28 yards rushing respectively. Robbie Gould would hit a 33-yard field goal to give San Francisco the win and an edge in the NFC West division.

All-time series: 49ers lead 71-67-3

Next week: LA Rams: vs Arizona; San Francisco: @ Seattle

TW: 2-1; CV: 2-1

Jacksonville 12, Atlanta 24: TW: Falcons; CV: Falcons

It might be Dan Quinn's last season in Atlanta but at least he got a home win. Gardner Minshew threw 13 of 31 passes for 181 yards with a touchdown. Leonard Fournette ran the ball well fine with 71 yards. Matt Ryan didn't throw particularly well but he finished with 384 yards passing with a touchdown and two interceptions. Devonta Freeman and Quinton Ollison scored rushing touchdowns, finishing the game with 53 and 3 yards rushing respectively. Minshewmania faded pretty quickly. 

All-time series: Falcons lead 4-3

Next week: Jacksonville: vs Indianapolis; Atlanta: @ Tampa Bay

TW: 3-1; CV: 3-1

New Orleans 38, Tennessee 28: TW: Saints; CV: Saints

The Titans are now in the drivers seat for the playoffs as the Steelers lost on Sunday. Drew Brees threw for 279 yards with three touchdowns. Alvin Kamara ran the ball with 80 rushing yards with two touchdowns. Michael Thomas would beat Marvin Harrison's single season receptions record set in 2002 with 145 receptions for Thomas. Ryan Tannehill threw for similar numbers with 272 yards passing with three touchdowns. Dion Lewis ran the ball for 68 yards and AJ Brown ran the ball for 49 yards for a touchdown on his only carry in the game. 

All-time series: Titans lead 8-6-1

Next week: New Orleans: @ Carolina; Tennessee: @ Houston

TW: 4-1; CV: 4-1

NY Giants 41, Washington 35: TW: Giants; CV: Giants

Daniel Jones had a pretty darn good game. Jones threw for 352 yards with five touchdown passes in the game. Saquon Barkley arguably had an even better game with 189 yards from the ground with a touchdown. Dwayne Haskins started for the Redskins, throwing for 133 yards with two touchdowns, before going down with an injury. Case Keenum would finish the game with 158 yards with a touchdown. 

All-time series: Giants lead 103-69-4

Next week: NY Giants: vs Philadelphia; Washington: @ Dallas

TW: 5-1; CV: 5-1

Pittsburgh 10, NY Jets 16: TW: Steelers; CV: Steelers

Pittsburgh's quarterbacks let the team down. Devlin Hodges started for Pittsburgh and threw for 84 yards with two interceptions before getting benched for Mason Rudolph. Rudolph played better with 129 yards passing with a touchdown. James Conner could only muster 32 yards rushing. Sam Darnold threw the ball for 183 yards with a touchdown pass. Le'Veon Bell did fine in the game rushing for 72 yards against his former team. The Steelers are still alive but they'll need a miracle if they want to get a playoff spot. 

All-time series: Steelers lead 20-6

Next week: Pittsburgh: @ Baltimore; NY Jets: @ Buffalo

TW: 5-2; CV: 5-2

Carolina 6, Indianapolis 38: TW: Colts; CV: Panthers

Nyheim Hines gave the Colts all the offense they needed on punt return. Will Grier didn't have a particularly great game as he threw for 224 yards with three interceptions. Christian McCaffrey ran the ball for 54 yards with 119 receiving yards. Jacoby Brissett threw for 119 yards in the game. Marlon Mack, Jordan Wilkins and Jacoby Brissett would score rushing touchdowns while getting 5, 84, and 37 yards rushing respectively. Nyheim Hines scored two touchdowns on punt returns with his longest was from 84 yards. 

All-time series: Panthers lead 5-2

Next week: Carolina: vs New Orleans; Indianapolis: @ Jacksonville

TW: 6-2; CV: 5-3

Baltimore 31, Cleveland 15: TW: Ravens; CV: Ravens

The Ravens beat the last team that beat them back on September 29th. Lamar Jackson threw for 238 yards passing with three touchdowns with 103 yards rushing. Justice Hill would get 19 yards rushing with a touchdown run. Baker Mayfield threw for 192 yards with two touchdowns with an interception. Nick Chubb would get 45 yards rushing on the day. The AFC playoffs will go through Baltimore. 

All-time series: Ravens lead 31-11

Next week: Baltimore: vs Pittsburgh; Cleveland: @ Cincinnati

TW: 7-2; CV: 6-3

Oakland 24, LA Chargers 17: TW: Raiders; CV: Raiders

The Raiders are still alive?! Derek Carr threw for 291 yards with a touchdown. Deandre Washington ran the ball for 85 yards with a touchdown as well. Derek Carr would score a touchdown on a 3-yard run. Phillip Rivers threw for 279 yards but neither scored a touchdown or threw an interception. Melvin Gordon ran the ball for 15 yards with two touchdowns on the ground. At least the Chargers don't have to play in that soccer stadium anymore. 

All-time series: Raiders lead 65-54-2

Next week: Oakland: @ Denver; LA Chargers: @ Kansas City

TW: 8-2; CV: 7-3

Detroit 17, Denver 27: TW: Broncos; CV: Broncos

The Drew Lock Shuffle could become a thing. David Blough started again for Detroit and threw for 117 yards with a touchdown. Kerryon Johnson did return for the Lions after missing a huge chunk of the season due to injury. Johnson would finish with 42 yards rushing. Drew Lock finished the game with 192 yards with a touchdown. Philip Lindsay and Royce Freeman carried their load in the offense, getting 109 and 28 yards rushing with a touchdown each. Looking like a possible 7-9 or 6-10 season finish for Denver. 

All-time series: Broncos lead 8-5

Next week: Detroit: vs Green Bay; Denver: vs Oakland

TW: 9-2; CV: 8-3

Arizona 27, Seattle 13: TW: Seahawks; CV: Seahawks

Huge surprise. Kyler Murray threw the ball for 118 yards with a touchdown. Brett Hundley would see some action as well with 49 yards passing but didn't throw a touchdown. Kenyon Drake had another big game as the runner racked up 166 yards rushing with two touchdowns. Russell Wilson threw the ball for 169 yards with a touchdown. Chris Carson was rather quiet in the game as he only ran for 40 yards with zero touchdowns. 

All-time series: Seahawks lead 21-20-1

Next week: Arizona: @ LA Rams; Seattle: vs San Francisco

TW: 9-3; CV: 8-4

Dallas 9, Philadelphia 17: TW: Eagles; CV: Eagles

I was hesitating on taking the Eagles, but Carson Wentz reassured me that I was making the right call. Dak Prescott threw the ball for 265 yards with zero touchdowns. Ezekiel Elliot ran the ball for 47 yards, in a rather quiet game for him. Carson Wentz threw the ball for 319 yards with a touchdown. Miles Sanders had a solid day on the ground with 79 yards rushing with a touchdown, his longest run was from 38 yards. Philly's pass catchers actually figured out to catch balls.

All-time series: Cowboys lead 69-53

Next week: Dallas: vs Washington; Philadelphia: @ NY Giants

TW: 10-3; CV: 9-4

Kansas City 26, Chicago 3: TW: Chiefs; CV: Chiefs

The final score was as to be expected. Sorry Chicago. Patrick Mahomes threw the ball for 251 yards with two touchdowns but all in all it was an average day for the stellar passer. Damien Williams ran the ball for 65 yards with zero touchdowns. Mitchel Trubisky would finish the game with 18 of 34 completions for 157 yards with zero touchdowns. Devin Montgomery had an alright game with 57 yards rushing but didn't score a touchdown. 

All-time series: Bears lead 7-6

Next week: Kansas City: vs LA Chargers; Chicago: @ Minnesota

TW: 11-3; CV: 10-4

Cincinnati 35, Miami 38 (F/OT): TW: Dolphins; CV: Dolphins

Nearly forgot about this gem of a game. Andy Dalton did have a good game with 396 yards with four touchdowns. Joe Mixon ran the ball for 50 yards on 21 carries. Ryan Fitzpatrick threw for 419 yards with four touchdowns and an interception. Miles Gaskin ran the ball for 55 yards rushing with a touchdown. Biggest difference was that the Dolphins made one more play than the Bengals, in terms of kickers. Jason Sanders would hit a 37-yard field goal to give the Dolphins their 4th win and won't pick #1 in the draft.

All-time series: Dolphins lead 17-7

Next week: Cincinnati: vs Cleveland; Miami: @ New England

TW: 12-3; CV: 11-4

Green Bay 23, Minnesota 10: TW: Vikings; CV: Vikings

Well it was still a win-win if I lost the pick. NFC North Champs! Aaron Rodgers wasn't quite at his best as he threw for 216 yards with an interception. Aaron Jones would have a monster game with 154 yards rushing for two touchdowns. His longest run was from 56 yards for a score. Kirk Cousins threw for 122 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Mike Boone was the leading rusher for Minnesota and finished with 28 yards rushing. Packers gave up three turnovers but defense kept them in it. 

All-time series: Packers lead 62-54-3

Next week: Green Bay: @ Detroit; Minnesota: vs Chicago

TW: 12-4; CV: 11-5

The Records (By Week & Year):

Cardinal Viking:
2017: 167-89
2018: 156-98-2

2019:
Week 1: 11-4-1
Week 2: 10-6
Week 3: 10-6
Week 4: 7-8
Week 5: 9-6
Week 6: 7-7
Week 7: 10-4
Week 8: 11-4
Week 9: 8-6
Week 10: 2-11
Week 11: 12-2
Week 12: 9-5
Week 13: 8-8
Week 14: 9-7
Week 15: 10-6
Week 16: 11-5
Overall: 146-95-1

My record: 
2012: 164-90-2
2013: 162-92-1
2014: 172-83-1
2017: 164-92
2018: 156-98-2

2019:
Week 1: 12-3-1
Week 2: 10-6
Week 3: 11-5
Week 4: 8-7
Week 5: 5-10
Week 6: 9-5
Week 7: 7-7
Week 8: 14-1
Week 9: 8-6
Week 10: 5-8
Week 11: 10-4
Week 12: 10-4
Week 13: 10-6
Week 14: 9-7
Week 15: 10-6
Week 16: 12-4
Overall: 150-89-1

See you guys on Friday for the Week 17 Picks post! 
-Tom

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