Showing posts with label week 10 predictions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label week 10 predictions. Show all posts

Wednesday, November 10, 2021

NFL 2021 Week 10 Picks

Hello readers! Another week of National Football League action will soon be here and if it was anything like Week 9, underdogs could be a thing again in Week 10. The games I'll keep an eye on are the Browns-Patriots, Saints-Titans, and Chiefs-Raiders games this week. In this post, I'll do a preview of the week, my picks for the contests and the early and late game broadcast pairings. Let's get to work!

Week 10 Preview
The tenth week of the NFL's regular season will start in Miami, Florida and finish up in Santa Clara, California. Week 10 features a 14-game slate that will have 28 teams playing in those games. Chicago Bears, Cincinnati Bengals, Houston Texans, and New York Giants will be on a bye this week. There will be a Thursday night game, seven early games, four late games, a Sunday night game and a Monday night game. FOX will have the single, regional game and CBS will have the doubleheader. Let's get to the picks!

Week 10 Picks

Note: TW is me and CV is Cardinal Viking, my former roommate. All game times are in US Eastern Time.

Baltimore (6-2) @ Miami (2-7) (FOX/Amazon/NFL Network; 8:20 pm): TW: Ravens; CV: Ravens
Both teams won last week as the Ravens beat the Vikings and the Dolphins beat the Texans. Baltimore would eventually win their matchup against Minnesota despite being down by a lot. What they face is a Dolphins squad that beat the Houston Texans. Miami had five of that game's nine turnovers. Baltimore somewhat feels some heat as the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Cleveland Browns are creeping up behind them. I think the Ravens will take care of business despite the short week. If there's Miami turnovers in the game, I'd say the Ravens will have a good shot to win.

Atlanta (4-4) @ Dallas (6-2) (FOX; 1:00 pm): TW: Cowboys; CV: Cowboys
The Falcons won against the Saints and the Cowboys lost to the Broncos. Atlanta pulled off a squeaker over the Saints. While I give them props for winning that game they are facing off against one of the better teams in the NFC in Dallas. Dak Prescott didn't look particularly well against Denver and possibly it was because of him not being fully healthy. With some extra time to watch film and get over last week I think the Cowboys will get back on a winning track.

Buffalo (5-3) @ NY Jets (2-6) (CBS; 1:00 pm): TW: Bills; CV: Bills
Both teams lost last week as the Bills lost to the Jaguars and the Jets lost to the Colts. Buffalo really couldn't get a lot of offense going against a fairly okay defense in Jacksonville. I keep saying that Josh Allen can't do it all on his own. He needs to have a better productive running game. Mike White will get the start for the Jets in this game and has done well in his stead over the injured starter Zach Wilson. I don't see the Jets taking this game as the Bills defense has to be better than the Jets right? I think Buffalo rebounds. 

Cleveland (5-4) @ New England (5-4) (CBS; 1:00 pm): TW: Patriots; CV: Patriots
Both teams won last week as the Browns beat the Bengals and the Patriots beat the Panthers. Cleveland finally got rid of Odell Beckham Jr and played out of their minds against their Ohio rival Cincinnati. Doesn't seem surprising as the Browns won a lot of games when OBJ was injured. New England finally got above .500 and has done it with their defense and some stability in the quarterback position in Mac Jones. They have had a lot of hype surrounding them perhaps but sometimes momentum helps these sort of teams. I think it'll be a good contest but I think New England will take care of business. 

Detroit (0-8) @ Pittsburgh (5-3) (FOX; 1:00 pm): TW: Steelers; CV: Steelers
The Lions lost to the Bye and the Steelers beat the Bears last week. Detroit just can't seem to get it together and win a game this year. Dan Campbell seems like a good coach that I'd want to play for but the sad thing is that the team that he has just isn't that scary. What is scary is the Steelers defense. Pittsburgh's offense has at times looked not so scary. A lot of faith is being put on Ben Roethlisberger on my fantasy team if Kyler Murray can't go. I feel the faith is being well put but any given Sunday. 

Jacksonville (2-6) @ Indianapolis (4-5) (CBS; 1:00 pm): TW: Colts; CV: Colts
Both teams won last week as the Jaguars beat the Bills and the Colts beat the Jets. Jacksonville raised a few eyebrows and shut down the Bills offense. The real question is will they replicate the same success against a Colts team that has played better when Carson Wentz doesn't give freebies to opposing jerseys. Jacksonville has the 12th best rush defense and the Colts have the 5th best rush offense. Something is going to have to give. I don't trust Trevor Lawrence to become god with the offense that he has. If he gets better offensive weapons I'd trust him a bit more. I'll take the Colts.

New Orleans (5-3) @ Tennessee (7-2) (CBS; 1:00 pm): TW: Saints; CV: Saints
The Saints lost to the Falcons and the Titans beat the Rams last week. New Orleans despite the near comeback almost won a game against an okay Falcons team. Trevor Siemian or Taysom Hill could start in the game and very well do well against the Titans. Tennessee hasn't had the respect they definitely deserve. The loss of Derrick Henry didn't really hurt them a lot against the Rams as they had a defensive showcase and Ryan Tannehill did damage to the Rams. I just have a gut feeling that could end up fucking me hard but I have a good hunch. 

Tampa Bay (6-2) @ Washington (2-6) (FOX; 1:00 pm): TW: Buccaneers; CV: Buccaneers
Both teams had a bye last week. Last time we saw the Buccaneers was a bad loss against their kryptonite: the regular season Saints. For Washington, they lost to the Broncos in a game they really should've done better in. This game is also a NFC Wild Card rematch where the Buccaneers beat the Football Team by a touchdown. Washington really is in for a bad matchup against Tampa as I don't really think there's one advantage that the Football Team has over Tampa. I think the Buccaneers rebound. 

Carolina (4-5) @ Arizona (8-1) (FOX; 4:05 pm): TW: Cardinals; CV: Cardinals
The Panthers lost to the Patriots and the Cardinals beat the 49ers last week. Sam Darnold will be out for this game and backup PJ Walker will likely get the nod to start. In limited action that Walker has been in with the Panthers he was 3 of 15 for 33 yards with two interceptions. Just doesn't seem like a stellar sample size. Kyler Murray could start if he goes through practice and stays well. Colt McCoy would get it if he can't go. Safe to say the Cardinals should have good signs going into this one with either quarterback. 

Minnesota (3-5) @ LA Chargers (5-3) (FOX; 4:05 pm): TW: Chargers; CV: Vikings
The Vikings lost to the Ravens and the Chargers beat the Eagles last week. Minnesota can't seem to get out of their own way and not have an overtime in a game that they're playing. The Chargers had a good game and back and forth affair with the Philadelphia Eagles. Justin Herbert could take advantage of the weak Vikings defense as long as he plays well within himself. Los Angeles should take advantage of their plethora of running backs and keep the Vikings defense on the field. I'll take the Chargers. 

Philadelphia (3-6) @ Denver (5-4) (CBS; 4:25 pm): TW: Broncos; CV: Broncos
The Eagles lost to the Chargers and the Broncos beat the Cowboys last week. Philadelphia played a good back and forth game against one of the better teams in the AFC. Denver made a Dallas team its plaything last week. Teddy Bridgewater threw very well even though his team's defense really made a statement and shut down the Cowboys for a good part of the game. Will the Broncos have a repeat performance against one of the better passing games in the NFL in the Eagles. Jalen Hurts has done damage in his legs and not necessarily just his throwing arm. I think the Broncos will have a tough task in slowing him down but I feel they'll pull it off. 

Seattle (3-5) @ Green Bay (7-2) (CBS; 4:25 pm): TW: Packers; CV: Seahawks
The Seahawks had a bye and the Packers lost to the Chiefs last week. Seattle had a convincing win against the Jaguars in Week 8. Russell Wilson won't likely play and Geno Smith will likely get the nod. Green Bay was without Aaron Rodgers due to him going through COVID protocol. If he is cleared on Saturday he will likely get the start. If he doesn't then obviously it would be Jordan Love that would get the nod. I'm banking on the thought that Rodgers will be cleared to play. In the scope of things a Geno Smith vs Aaron Rodgers matchup seems to be a mismatch in any slight. Green Bay is gunning for a homefield advantage position at the #1 seed. I think they'll win.

Kansas City (5-4) @ Las Vegas (5-3) (NBC; 8:20 pm): TW: Raiders; CV: Raiders
The Chiefs beat the Packers and the Raiders lost to the Giants last week. Its an old school AFC matchup on NBC! Patrick Mahomes didn't play spectacular but didn't turn the ball over against Green Bay. Las Vegas really let the game against the Giants float them by. Turnovers really kill you when it matters most. Kansas City hasn't looked at all great for over a month. Las Vegas had a good thing going since Jon Gruden's resignation winning two of their last three games. Derek Carr can play well when he doesn't throw the ball to opposing jerseys. The game could be a tossup but I'll take the home team. 

LA Rams (7-2) @ San Francisco (3-5) (8:15 pm): TW: Rams; CV: Rams
Both teams lost last week as the Rams lost to the Titans and the 49ers lost to the Cardinals. Week 10 finishes up with a matchup that had been looking to be a fun one. Los Angeles has had a fun season with a Matthew Stafford having a rejuvenated season. The Rams had a bad loss against the Titans whom were down their best player in Derrick Henry. San Francisco confuses me a lot. They can be good and play well one week and then go shit the bed the next. I feel the Rams will have a bounceback week and reflect on last week's loss and get back to work. San Francisco could win but they will need to get a better game from their defensive line and passing game from Jimmy Garoppolo. 

Early & Late TV Pairings (courtesy of 506sports.com):

Note: Games in bold are being shown in my area. Check local listings as they do get updated reguarly.

CBS Early

Cleveland @ New England
Ian Eagle, Charles Davis

New Orleans @ Tennessee
Kevin Harlan, Trent Green

Buffalo @ NY Jets
Spero Dedes, Jay Feely

Jacksonville @ Indianapolis
Andrew Catalon, James Lofton

CBS Late

Seattle @ Green Bay
Jim Nantz, Tony Romo

Philadelphia @ Denver
Greg Gumbel, Adam Archuleta

FOX Single

Atlanta @ Dallas
Kevin Burkhardt, Greg Olson

Tampa Bay @ Washington
Adam Amin, Mark Schlereth

Detroit @ Pittsburgh
Chris Myers, Daryl Johnston

Minnesota @ LA Chargers (LATE)
Kevin Kugler, Mark Sanchez

Carolina @ Arizona (LATE)
Kenny Albert, Jonathan Vilma

2021 Pick'em Records:

My record:

Week 1: 7-9
Week 2: 10-6
Week 3: 10-6
Week 4: 9-7
Week 5: 12-4
Week 6: 11-3
Week 7: 10-3
Week 8: 7-8
Week 9: 7-7

Total: 83-53

Cardinal Viking's record:

Week 1: 6-10
Week 2: 12-4
Week 3: 13-3
Week 4: 10-6
Week 5: 10-6
Week 6: 12-2
Week 7: 10-3
Week 8: 7-8
Week 9: 8-6

Total: 88-48

Previous Picking Records:

Cardinal Viking:

2017: 167-89
2018: 156-98-2
2019: 151-104-1
2020: 163-92-1

My record: 
2012: 164-90-2
2013: 162-92-1
2014: 172-83-1
2017: 164-92
2018: 156-98-2
2019: 161-94-1
2020: 167-88-1 

Expect to see the Week 10 recap post sometime after the Monday night game or Tuesday. Enjoy the games!

-Tom

UPDATE #1 (11:50 pm on 11/10/2021): Forgot to add Cardinal Viking's picks, so added them. 

Wednesday, November 11, 2020

NFL 2020 Week 10 Picks

 Hello readers! Another week of National Football League action is soon upon us. The week offers some fairly interesting matchups. The Seahawks and Rams could be a great game while the Thursday night game with the Colts and Titans should liven up things a bit. This Sunday marks my 32nd birthday so obviously football, pizza and probably beer will be had on that day. In this post I'll talk about my picks for the week's games. Let's get to work!

Week 10 Picks

Week 10 in the NFL regular season starts in Nashville, Tennessee and ends in Chicago, Illinois. The week will have a 14-game slate. It includes a Thursday night game, five early games, six late games, a Sunday night game and a Monday night game. CBS will have the single late game due to their coverage of The Masters tournament and FOX will have the doubleheader this week. Atlanta, Dallas, Kansas City and NY Jets have byes this week. Let's get to the picks!

Indianapolis (5-3) @ Tennessee (6-2) (FOX/NFL Network): TW: Titans; CV: Titans
The Colts lost to the Ravens and the Titans beat the Bears last week. A fairly decent matchup to start the week off as its a battle for 1st in the AFC South. The Colts have shown to be a decent pick in AFC South matchups but I don't know if I can trust Philip Rivers to throw the football at someone other than his own team. Indy's defense will have a huge test this week in stopping or slowing down Derrick Henry. Mostly a gut feeling but I'll take the Titans.

Jacksonville (1-7) @ Green Bay (6-2) (FOX): TW: Packers; CV: Packers
Jacksonville lost to the Texans and the Packers beat the 49ers last week. Jake Luton proved to be a fairly decent option at quarterback for the Jaguars. I think he's going to have his hands full against the Packers front seven though. The extra rest from playing last Thursday will help the Packers out a bit especially with Aaron Jones's health. I'll take the Packers using their running game to win this one. 

Houston (2-6) @ Cleveland (5-3) (FOX): TW: Browns; CV: Browns
Houston beat the Jaguars and the Browns had a bye last week. Cleveland will be well rested for this one. Baker Mayfield has been a wild card this season and that doesn't bode well for picking. Perhaps the week off will give some perspective to Baker Mayfield who should be doing well this season but he has yet to show that he can be a top flight quarterback in the NFL. Houston outside of DeShaun Watson, JJ Watt and Wil Fuller is iffy in terms of talent at best. I think it'll be a quarterback duel. I'll take the Browns but I won't hold my breath if they lose. 

Philadelphia (3-4-1) @ NY Giants (2-7) (FOX): TW: Eagles; CV: Eagles
The Eagles had the bye and the Giants beat the Football Team last week. Ah yes another NFC East matchup that smells rotten. Perhaps not as rotten as the Giants-Football Team game last week but still bad. Philly did well in the first matchup of this series despite Carson Wentz throwing interceptions in the game. Alshon Jeffery could possibly make it back to playing this week which will give Wentz some options to throw. New York's running game could make some noise in this one but I like the Eagles in the game. 

Tampa Bay (6-3) @ Carolina (3-6) (FOX): TW: Buccaneers; CV: Buccaneers
Both teams lost last week as the Buccaneers lost to the Saints and the Panthers lost to the Chiefs. Tampa got spanked last week much to my surprise and most people. Carolina showed promise in nearly beating the defending champion Chiefs last week. Tom Brady typically does well in games after a loss so I'm willing to give the Bucs another shot at winning this game. With Christian McCaffrey back in action this one should be a tight contest. 

Washington (2-6) @ Detroit (3-5) (FOX): TW: Lions; CV: Lions
Both teams lost last week as the Football Team lost to the Giants and the Lions lost to the Vikings. Detroit hopes that Matthew Stafford returns from leaving last week's game with a concussion. It looks like he will make it to this game. I tend to like the Lions a bit in this matchup as they do have a potent passing attack with a sprinkle of running backs to complement. What they lack in is defense. Washington has a good pass defense which makes this hard to pick. I'll take Detroit in the spur of the moment. 

LA Chargers (2-6) @ Miami (5-3) (CBS): TW: Dolphins; CV: Dolphins
The Chargers lost to the Raiders and the Dolphins beat the Cardinals last week. Two young quarterbacks duking it out. I'm not quite sure what we'll see out of Tua Tagovailoa as he hasn't really had a bad game so far in his young career since becoming the starter. Justin Herbert has been the more seasoned rookie and he may as well be garnering votes for Rookie of the Year as far as I'm concerned. If Miami can be spontaneous in its offense, I feel that they should rule the day. 

Denver (3-5) @ Las Vegas (5-3) (CBS): TW: Raiders; CV: Raiders
The Broncos lost to the Falcons and the Raiders beat the Chargers last week. Drew Lock has been hit and miss this season and his stats really speak for themselves as he has six touchdowns and six interceptions with 1,240 passing yards. The Raiders tandem of Josh Jacobs and Devontae Booker was cool to watch last week as it gave them more options to go to in offense. Derek Carr has been playing well this season in spite of me not talking about him as much. I'll take the better offensive power in Las Vegas in this one.

Buffalo (7-2) @ Arizona (5-3) (CBS): TW: Cardinals; CV: Cardinals
The Bills beat the Seahawks and the Cardinals lost to the Dolphins last week. If this game was anything like the Seahawks-Bills game then this one is sure to have high scoring up the wazoo. A defensive coordinator's worst nightmare perhaps. The quarterback matchup speaks for itself. Arizona has two 500+ yard rushers on their team, granted one of them is Kyler Murray. I think the key is going to have to fall on getting Devin Singletary the ball more and try to exploit Arizona's weaker rush defense. Should be a fun one to watch but I'll take the Cardinals. 

Cincinnati (2-5-1) @ Pittsburgh (8-0) (FOX): TW: Steelers; CV: Steelers
The Bengals had a bye and the Steelers beat the Cowboys last week. In spite of the okay performance at Dallas last week, I think the Steelers will have a bit of an easier time facing off against a division rival. A lot of hope rests on whether or not Joe Mixon will play in this game as he was limited in practice so far this week. Joe Mixon or not, I don't see how the Steelers defense will let Joe Burrow free to roam. 

Seattle (6-2) @ LA Rams (5-3) (FOX): TW: Seahawks; CV: Rams
The Seahawks lost to the Bills and the Rams were on a bye last week. Last time we saw the Rams was a rough loss against the Dolphins. A bye was needed for the Rams after that loss for sure. Russell Wilson should still be well on track to get a majority of the MVP votes. Seattle's achilles heel however is their defense that I certainly thought was great. Giving up 44 points to the Bills last week makes me hesitant to give them leeway in this one. Ultimately I'm willing to give Russell Wilson a game of his life in this one. 

San Francisco (4-5) @ New Orleans (6-2) (FOX): TW: Saints; CV: Saints
The 49ers lost to the Packers and the Saints beat the Buccaneers last week. Last Thursday's final score against the Packers was somewhat of a mirage as without most of their star players, the 49ers looked lost. They now take on a tougher test in the New Orleans Saints who put up 38 against Tom Brady and the Buccaneers last week. I'm sorry San Francisco but I don't see how you guys can overcome this game. Perhaps Nick Mullens can find his inner Joe Montana or Steve Young. 

Baltimore (6-2) @ New England (3-5) (NBC): TW: Ravens; CV: Ravens
Both teams got wins last week as the Ravens beat the Colts and the Patriots beat the Jets. The matchup was pretty good to watch back in the earlier part of the last decade but 2020 doesn't seem to be too kind for the Patriots. A lot of their issues stem certainly from Cam Newton but I could make a case for their receiving corp being meager at best. Baltimore's balanced attack will keep the Pats offense off the field and their defense will make their life a long day. I just don't see them losing this game. 

Minnesota (3-5) @ Chicago (5-4) (ESPN): TW: Vikings; CV: Vikings
The Vikings beat the Lions and the Bears lost to the Titans last week. Dalvin Cook has been going on a tear since he returned from injury. Granted it was to be expected as the rest of the team has been below average. Nick Foles has been a decent option at quarterback. Chicago's defense certainly is better than Minnesota's. If Dalvin Cook goes on a tear, I'll take the Vikings. If the Bears defense can slow him down then well don't expect Kirk Cousins to throw for over 400+ yards in this game. 

Local TV Schedule:

CBS Single:
Denver @ Las Vegas
Kevin Harlan, Trent Green

FOX Early:
Jacksonville @ Green Bay
Chris Myers, Greg Jennings, Brock Huard

FOX Late:
San Francisco @ New Orleans
Adam Amin, Mark Schlereth

Games subject to change, for more information on which game is being shown in your area check out: NFL Week 10 Maps

2020 Week by Week Record

TW's record:

Week 1: 8-8
Week 2: 15-1
Week 3: 9-6-1
Week 4: 11-4
Week 5: 9-5
Week 6: 7-7
Week 7: 12-2
Week 8: 7-7
Week 9: 10-4
Total: 88-44-1

Cardinal Viking's record:

Week 1: 10-6
Week 2: 11-5
Week 3: 8-7-1
Week 4: 7-8
Week 5: 8-6
Week 6: 9-5
Week 7: 11-3
Week 8: 7-7
Week 9: 9-5
Total: 80-52-1

Previous Picking Records:

Cardinal Viking:

2017: 167-89
2018: 156-98-2
2019: 151-104-1

My record: 
2012: 164-90-2
2013: 162-92-1
2014: 172-83-1
2017: 164-92
2018: 156-98-2
2019: 161-94-1

I'll see you guys for the Week 10 Picks post on Wednesday! See you then. 
-Tom

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