NFL 2024 Week 10 Recap

 Hello readers! Another week of National Football League action has come to an end. The week that was Week 10 brought us a lot of crazy storylines. Such storylines like a slugfest in Baltimore, an upset in Chicago, a wild game in Germany, a blowout in Dallas, a comeback for the ages in Detroit and a blocked kick in Kansas City. All those games and more in this week's recap post.

NFL Week 10 Freaky Stat

The Minnesota Vikings have won six straight games against the Jacksonville Jaguars. They last lost to Jacksonville in 2001. 

NFL Week 10 Recap

Cincinnati 34, Baltimore 35

Pick: Ravens

A back and forth affair in Baltimore that came down to a 2-point attempt. Joe Burrow hit 34 of 56 passes for four touchdowns in the game. Three of those went to Ja'Marr Chase. The other went to Tanner Hudson. Chase Brown made some good yardage as he rushed for 13 times for 42 yards with a touchdown. Ja'Marr Chase made his fantasy owners happy and the Bengals happy with 11 catches for 264 receiving yards with the aforementioned three touchdowns. He had the longest play for the Bengals with a 70-yard gain that was for a touchdown. He also had a 67-yard play for a touchdown as well. He basically ran over the Ravens defense. Cincinnati had 470 total yards in the game. It was a good game for them but just not in the scoreboard and the win column. They were at one point up by 14 points in the game. There was some controversy as there was a missed facemask call while there was another one called later on the drive and a holding in the 2-point conversion. For the Bengals, they drop to 4-6 with their playoff hopes slipping from their fingers. 

Lamar Jackson had 25 of 33 passes for 290 yards with four touchdowns. Tylan Wallace, Mark Andrews, Rashod Bateman and Nelson Agholor were the players that caught the passes from Jackson. If there was one thing that the Bengals did right was that they limited Derrick Henry. Henry had 16 carries for 68 yards with a touchdown. Tylan Wallace had three catches for 115 yards with a 84-yard gain for the said touchdown to be the longest play for them. At one point they were dealing with long 3rd downs on drives and would punt the ball early in the game. The Ravens were at one point down 21-7 at the 13:09 mark in the 3rd quarter. They eventually would get to a lead with 5:50 left in the 4th quarter. After a 28-21 lead the two teams would score four touchdowns. Baltimore will get 389 total yards in the game. For the Ravens, they survive the game and move on to a 7-3 record with the rival Steelers on the horizon. 

Next week:

Cincinnati: @ LA Chargers (Sunday night)
Baltimore: @ Pittsburgh

TW: 1-0

NY Giants 17, Carolina 20 (F/OT)

Pick: Giants

Carolina outlasts New York in Germany. Daniel Jones had 22 of 37 passes for 190 yards with two interceptions. He would get seven carries for 26 yards with a rushing touchdown. At least he had that. Tyrone Tracy Jr. had a good day with running the ball with 18 carries for 103 yards with a touchdown of his own. Wandale Robinson had five catches for 51 yards in the game to be the leading receiver for the G-men. Tracy Jr. had the longest play for the Giants on a play for 32-yards. The Giants had 342 total yards with 175 passing yards with 167 rushing yards. It was a game like most other games for the Giants as turnovers caused them to lose even though it was a close game. For the Giants, they drop to 2-8 on the season but have a break next week. 

Bryce Young hit 15 of 25 passes for 126 yards with a touchdown pass to Jatavion Sanders for the first score of the game. Chuba Hubbard would have a big role in the game as he had an astonishing 28 carries for 153 yards with a touchdown run. He had a 26-yard run that was the longest play for the Panthers. Jalen Coker had three catches for 41 yards to be the leading receiver for Carolina. The defense was somewhat opportunistic with two interceptions and even recovered a Giants fumble to get three takeaways, something that the Panthers lacked for a good portion this season. Carolina's offense had 306 total yards in the game. In overtime, the Giants would go on a three and out drive, prompting the Panthers to go for the field goal. Eddie Pineiro would hit a 36-yard field goal to get the win. For the Panthers, they improve to 3-7 on the season with a break next week as well. 

Next week:

NY Giants: Bye
Carolina: Bye

TW: 1-1

Buffalo 30, Indianapolis 20

Pick: Bills

Josh Allen and Company hold off the Colts. Allen hit 22 of 37 passes for 280 yards with two interceptions. Allen had a rushing touchdown on 13-yard run while putting up 50 yards on eight carries. James Cook had 19 carries for 80 yards with a touchdown of his own. Mack Hollins had four catches for 86 yards and had the longest play for the Bills with a 44-yard catch. Buffalo's defense had a touchdown on a Joe Flacco interception that was returned to Taron Johnson for a 23-yard score. Tyler Bass hit three field goals in the game. Buffalo had 415 total yards in the game. Despite the turnovers, the Bills would keep moving the ball and got first downs more than the Colts. For the Bills, they improve to 7-2 and face off against the undefeated Chiefs in Orchard Park next week. 

Joe Flacco hit 26 of 35 passes for 272 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions. The two touchdowns went to Alec Pierce and Tyler Goodson. Jonathan Taylor had a big day with 21 carries for 114 yards in the game and had the longest play for the Colts with a 58-yard run. It sadly didn't go for a touchdown. Alec Pierce had four catches for 81 yards. Indianapolis had 361 yards of offense in the game. The Colts sadly had the three interceptions and also had a fumble that was recovered by Buffalo. For the Bills, they drop to 4-6 on the season. 

Next week:

Buffalo: vs Kansas City
Indianapolis: @ NY Jets

TW: 2-1

Atlanta 17, New Orleans 20

Pick: Falcons

New Orleans survives against the Falcons. Kirk Cousins hit 23 of 38 passes for 306 yards with an interception. Bijan Robinson would get 20 carries for 116 yards with two touchdowns and had a longest play for the Falcons with a 37-yard run. Tyler Allgeier had 11 carries for 59 yards. Drake London had eight catches for 97 yards in the game to be the leading receiver for Atlanta. Atlanta had 468 total yards in the game. It was a game that the Falcons could've won but their defense wouldn't account for Derek Carr coming back. For the Falcons, they drop to 6-4 on the season. 

Derek Carr came back to the fold in this one. He hit 16 of 25 passes for 269 yards with two touchdown passes to Marquez Valdes-Scantling for the two scores. Alvin Kamara had 17 carries for 55 yards in the game. Marques Valdes-Scantling caught three passes for 109 yards in the game and had the longest play for the Saints with a 67-yard play for the touchdown. New Orleans had 365 total yards in the game. It was a game that was a blessing for the Saints who let go of Dennis Allen earlier in the week and gave interim head coach Darren Rizzi his first win. For the Saints, they end their seven-game losing streak with a win and improve to 3-7. It was their first win since Week 2 against Dallas. 

Next week:

Atlanta: @ Denver
New Orleans: vs Cleveland

TW: 2-2

Denver 14, Kansas City 16

Pick: Broncos

A Chiefs blocked kick keeps them undefeated against Denver. Bo Nix hit 22 of 30 passes for 215 yards with two touchdowns to Cortland Sutton and Devaughn Vele. Audric Estime had 14 carries for 53 yards in the loss to be the leading receiver for the Broncos. Cortland Sutton had six catches for 70 yards in the game and had a 32-yard catch to be the longest play for the Broncos. Denver had 260 total yards in the game. It would be a game where points came at a premium for the Broncos as both touchdowns came in the 2nd quarter and wouldn't score again. They had a chance to win the game on a 35-yard Wil Lutz field goal try that was blocked by Leo Chenel. For the Broncos, they drop to 5-5 on the season. 

Patrick Mahomes hit 28 of 42 passes for 266 yards with a touchdown pass to Travis Kelce. It gave him the all-time receiving touchdown mark in franchise history with 76. It would be the only touchdown for the Chiefs. Kareem Hunt wouldn't get a lot of yardage as he had 14 carries for 35 yards. A quiet day for him on the ground. In the air he did have seven catches for 65 yards. At least he was effective in the pass game. Samaje Perine had the honor of the longest play for the Chiefs with a 35-yard play. The offense wouldn't generate a lot of offense but Harrison Butker had three field goals in the game to help the Chiefs. The Chiefs would get 300 total yards of offense in the game but would only muster 16 points in this one. They had a chance to lose this one Leo Chenel would call game and save the undefeated season for at least another week. For the Chiefs, they stay at 9-0 with a trip to Buffalo next week. 

Next week:

Denver: vs Atlanta
Kansas City: @ Buffalo

TW: 2-3

Minnesota 12, Jacksonville 7

Pick: Vikings

Four field goals enough to give the Vikings a win. Sam Darnold hit 24 of 38 passes for 241 yards with three interceptions. One of them was a tipped pass, one was a questionable one where the ball looked to hit the ground and the other was a no-brainer. Aaron Jones hit 88 yards on 17 carries for the running back. TJ Hockenson had eight catches for 72 yards in the game. The longest play of the game for the Vikings was a 28-yard catch to Josh Oliver who also caught three other passes for 52 yards. John Parker Romo (nice name buddy) hit four field goals in the game. Minnesota had 402 total yards in the game but wouldn't get a lot of points in this game. Then again their defense would do the work in the game. For the Vikings, they improved to 7-2 on the season. 

Mac Jones would play instead of Trevor Lawrence. Lawrence was out with a shoulder injury. It was a game to forget for Jones has he hit 14 of 22 passes for 111 yards with two interceptions. Jones would score the only touchdown for Jacksonville on a run up the middle for a 1-yard play. Travis Etienne had 11 carries for 44 yards. Evan Engram was the leading receiver for the Jags with six catches for 40 yards. The longest play for the Jaguars was a 23-yard catch by Brenton Strange. The Jaguars offense would only compile 143 total yards in the game and would be the fifth lowest total in Jaguars history. For the Jaguars, their depressing season continues as they drop to 2-8. 

Next week:

Minnesota: @ Tennessee
Jacksonville: @ Detroit

TW: 3-3

New England 19, Chicago 3

Pick: Patriots

The Patriots upset the Bears at Soldier Field. Drake Maye hit 15 of 25 passes for 184 yards with a touchdown pass to Ja'Lynn Polk. Maye also threw an interception in the game. Polk has had a quiet season so far but he did make his presence known with a caught ball for a score. Rhamondre Stevenson had 20 carries for 74 yards in the game. Austin Hooper caught three passes for 64 yards in the game and had a 28-yard catch early in the game to be the longest play for the Patriots in the game. The Patriots had a good day for Joey Slye as he hit four field goals in the game. It was a better game for the Patriots defense who took it upon themselves to go after Caleb Williams. They made Williams life not fun as they sacked the rookie quarterback nine times. It was a rebound game for them as ehey had let the team down for a good portion of the season. The Patriots had 328 total yards in the game and improve to 3-7 on the season. 

Caleb Williams hit 16 of 30 passes for 120 yards. A quiet day for him but a long day for him as he was sacked nine times. Dandre Swift had 16 carries for 59 yards in the game. Keenan Allen had five catches for 44 yards in the game. The longest play for the Bears was a 18-yard catch by DJ Moore who had three catches for 24 yards. It was an ugly day for the Bears on offense who had 69 net passing yards, went 1 for 14 on 3rd down conversions but did go 2 for 4 on 4th down. Chicago had 142 total yards in the game. For the Bears, they drop to 4-5 and have lost three straight games and haven't won a game since the 35-16 win against Jacksonville in London. 

Next week:

New England: vs LA Rams
Chicago: vs Green Bay

TW: 4-3

Pittsburgh 28, Washington 27

Pick: Steelers

The Steelers comeback and win in Landover. Russell Wilson hit 14 of 28 passes for 195 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. Pat Friermuth, George Pickens and Mike Williams were the receivers of the Wilson passes for touchdowns. It was the Mike Williams touchdown that gave the Steelers a 28-27 lead. Jaylen Warren had 14 carries for 66 yards in the game. Najee Harris had 21 carries for 53 yards with a touchdown run. George Pickens was the leading receiver for the Steelers with five catches for 91 yards and had a 32-yard play that was the longest play for Pittsburgh. The Steelers were down 24-14 with 12:55 left in the 3rd quarter but would answer back with a 14-3 run to end the game. The Steelers put up 312 total yards in the game and improve to 7-2 record with a date with the Ravens next week. 

Jayden Daniels hit 17 of 34 passes for 202 yards in the game. He wouldn't get a lot of yardage on the ground as he rushed three times for five yards. Austin Ekeler had 13 carries for 44 yards with two touchdowns. Jeremy McNichols had four carries for seven yards with a touchdown on a 1-yard run up the middle. Terry McLaurin caught five passes for 113 yards in the game and had the longest play for the Commanders with a 54-yard play. It wouldn't result in a touchdown. The Commanders wouldn't be able to sustain drives as they went to 5 for 14 on 3rd down conversions as they had 23:49 of ball possession. For the Commanders, their 3-game winning streak ends as they drop to 7-3 with a date against rival Philadelphia next week. 

Next week:

Pittsburgh: vs Baltimore
Washington: @ Philadelphia (Thursday night)

TW: 5-3

San Francisco 23, Tampa Bay 20

Pick: 49ers

San Francisco survives as Christian McCaffrey returns. Brock Purdy hit 25 of 36 passes for 353 yards with two touchdowns to Ricky Pearsall and George Kittle. Christian McCaffrey made his return after suffering an Achilles injury. The running back was limited as he rushed 13 times for 39 yards with six catches for 68 yards. Jauan Jennings caught seven passes for 93 yards in the game. The longest play for the Niners was a 46-yard play to Ricky Pearsall for the touchdown that got things going for the 49ers. You have to remember the guy was shot in August in the chest. Quite a comeback for sure. San Francisco had 413 total yards in the game. It would be a game where the 49ers offense would take a break as they had went 5 for 11 on 3rd downs. Field goal misses were plenty as Jake Moody missed three of them in the game. Suffice to say, Jake Moody hit a 44-yard field goal that would give the 49ers a win and give them a 5-4 record as they play host to the Seahawks. 

Baker Mayfield hit 18 of 29 passes for 116 yards with a touchdown pass to Rachaad White. Bucky Irving had 13 carries for 73 yards with a touchdown run. Rachaad White had six catches for 39 yards in the game. The longest play for the Buccaneers was a 15-yard play to Cade Otton. Despite the close game, the Buccaneers wouldn't doa whole lot in the game. The field goal misses would've made them a bit happier but wouldn't take advantage of the misses. Tampa Bay had 215 total yards in the game but drop to 4-6 on the season but have a bye next week. 

Next week:

San Francisco: vs Seattle
Tampa Bay: Bye

TW: 6-3

Tennessee 17, LA Chargers 27

Pick: Chargers

Justin Herbert leads the way against the Titans. Will Levis returned to the fold and hit 18 of 23 passes for 175 yards with two touchdowns. A solid day for him. Both touchdowns went to Calvin Ridley. Tyjae Spears had seven carries for 47 yards in the game. Tony Pollard had nine carries for 44 yards in the game. Calvin Ridley had five catches for 84 yards and had the longest play for the Titans on a 41-yard play that resulted in the first touchdown for the Titans with a 7-3 lead. Tennessee would have an early lead but they wouldn't regain it after the first Ridley touchdown and the Chargers would proceed to score 10 unanswered points. The Titans had 289 total yards in the game. For the Titans, they drop to 2-7 on the season. 

Justin Herbert hit 14 of 18 passes for 164 yards with a touchdown pass to Quentin Johnston and had nine carries for 32 yards with a touchdown. He had a solid game for sure. Gus Edwards had 10 carries for 55 yards. JK Dobbins had 15 carries for 50 yards. Hassan Haskins had two carries for four yards with a touchdown as well. Ladd McConkey had two catches for 52 yards and had a 37-yard play for the longest play for the Chargers. Cameron Dicker hit two field goals in the game early before the Chargers scored three touchdowns. Los Angeles had 309 total yards in the game. For the Chargers, they improve to 6-3 on the season and play host to Cincinnati next week. 

Next week:

Tennessee: vs Minnesota
LA Chargers: vs Cincinnati (Sunday night)

TW: 7-3

NY Jets 6, Arizona 31

Pick: Cardinals

Arizona proceeds to curb stomp the Jets at home. Aaron Rodgers hit 22 of 35 passes for 151 yards in the game. That's 6.8 yards/pass completion. Not a great game for him. Breece hall had 10 carries for 52 yards in the game. Garrett Wilson had five catches for 41 yards to be the leading receiver for the Jets. The longest play in the game was a Breece Hall catch for a 15-yard gain. He had four catches for 31 yards. As far as what went wrong for the Jets, it feels simply: everything. The defense couldn't stop the Cardinals, their offense couldn't score points. I mean they only had 207 total yards of offense. Perhaps maybe letting Robert Saleh go earlier this season did nothing to solve their issues. For the Jets, they drop to 3-7 and have little to no hope of making the playoffs. 

Kyler Murray had a good game. He had 22 of 24 pass completions for 266 yards with a passing touchdown while rushing for two touchdowns on 21 yards. He had a good game for sure as he had 30 fantasy points. Trey Benson had 62 yards on 10 carries. James Conner had 33 yards on 12 carries with a 1-yard run up the middle for a score. James Conner had five catches for 80 yards and had a 44-yard play for the longest play in the game. It was in general a dominating effort for the Cardinals as they proceeded to score points in the first three quarters with 31 points. The defense held the Jets to just six points, something that the Texans defense couldn't do last week. The Cardinals had 406 total yards in the game and improve to 6-4 on the season and have a bye next week. 

Next week:

NY Jets: vs Indianapolis
Arizona: Bye

TW: 8-3

Philadelphia 34, Dallas 6

Pick: Eagles

The Eagles soared over the Cowboys in Jerry World. Jalen Hurts hit 14 of 20 passes for 202 yards with two touchdowns and had an interception in the win. Johnny Wilson and Dallas Goedert were the players that caught the passes from Hurts. Along with the passing touchdowns, Hurts also rushed for two touchdowns with seven carries for 56 yards. Saquon Barkley had 14 carries for 66 yards in the game. It was a quieter game for him as he had 212 all-purpose yards last week against Jacksonville. AJ Brown caught five passes for 109 yards with a 44-yard play being the longest in the game for Philly. It was a game where the Eagles would get a lead early and wouldn't relinquish it but the Cowboys did keep it close with a 7-6 margin. They would proceed to score 27 unanswered points throughout the game. Philadelphia had 348 total yards in the game. For the Eagles, they improve to 7-2 and host the Commanders in a few days on Thursday. 

Cooper Rush would start for the Cowboys. he hit 13 of 23 passes for 45 yards in the game. He would get benched late in the game for Trey Lance. Lance hit 4 of 6 passes for 21 yards with an interception. Kind of forgot he was a Cowboy for a hot second. Rico Dowdle had 12 carries for 53 yards and had the longest play for the Cowboys on a 1-yard play. Jake Ferguson had four catches for 24 yards to be the leading receiver for the Cowboys. Yep it was that rough. The news came of Dak Prescott's season ending injury came on Saturday as he was planning on having a repaired hamstring surgery sometime this week. It was a game that was not close as the Cowboys offense could only muster six points in the first two quarters. The Cowboys had 146 total yards in the game and drop to 3-6 on the season with Mike McCarthy's seat getting a bit warmer. 

Next week:

Philadelphia: vs Washington (Thursday night)
Dallas: vs Houston (Monday night)

TW: 9-3

Detroit 26, Houston 23

Pick: Texans

Holy interceptions Batman! Jared Goff hit 15 of 30 passes for 240 yards with two touchdowns and five interceptions. You read that right. Keep in mind, the NFL record in a single game is eight interceptions by Jim Hardy with the Chicago Cardinals against the Philadelphia Eagles in 1950. Sam LaPorta and Amon-Ra St. Brown were the players that caught the passes from Goff. David Montgomery had 12 carries for 32 yards with a touchdown run. Jahmyr Gibbs had 19 carries for 71 yards to be the leading rusher for the Lions. Sam LaPorta had three catches for 66 yards and had the longest play for the Lions on a 37-yard play. The Lions had 345 total yards in the game. Jared Goff had three interceptions in the 1st half while had two in the 3rd quarter. He and the Lions would come back from a 23-7 deficit and got a statement win. Jake Bates hit two field goals in the game but it would be the 52-yard field goal that won it for the Lions and for the hometown kid a win. For the Lions, they improve to 8-1 on the season. 

CJ Stroud hit 19 of 33 passes for 232 yards with a touchdown and had two interceptions. John Metchie III was the player that caught the pass from Stroud for six. Joe Mixon had 25 carries for 46 yards with a touchdown run. It certainly has to be one of the reasons why they couldn't sustain a lead. Metchie III had five catches for 74 yards in the game. Joe Mixon had the longest play in the game with a 36-yard play as a pass catcher. He had two catches for 44 yards. The Texans had scored 23 points in the first half and somehow or another let the foot off the gas a bit. The Texans two interceptions happened in the 3rd quarter and the first one happened on the first play of the 3rd quarter for Houston. A gut wrenching loss for the Texans as not only did they blow a 23-7 lead but they also let a team who gave up five interceptions win a game against them. For the Texans, they got 248 total yards in the game while dropping to a 6-4 record. 

Next week:

Detroit: vs Jacksonville
Houston: @ Dallas (Monday night)

TW: 9-4

Miami 23, LA Rams 15

Pick: Dolphins

The Dolphins hold off the Rams in Inglewood. Tua Tagovailoa hit 20 of 28 passes for 207 yards with a touchdown pass but also threw an interception. The touchdown pass went to Tyreek Hill. Devon Achane had 12 carries for 37 yards. Malik Washington had a carry for an 18-yard touchdown. Jaylen Waddle had three catches for 57 yards and had the longest play for the Dolphins on a 36-yard play. Miami would have 238 total yards in the game. It was a fairly alright play for them. They were up at one up 17-6 in the game but would let the game let it slip a bit through their fingers. Tua Tagovailoa even had a tackle that made Dolphins fans hold their breath as he lead a tackle with his head. The guy is kind of crazy. Suffice to say, the Dolphins won. For the Dolphins, they improve to 3-6 on the season. 

Matthew Stafford hit 32 of 46 passes for 293 yards with an interception. He and the Rams offense would not score a touchdown in this game. Kyren Williams had 15 carries for 62 yards. Puka Nacua had nine catches for 98 yards. The longest play for the Rams was a Demarcus Robinson catch for a 23-yard gain. The Rams had 327 yards in the game. It was a game where the Rams would score no touchdowns, a rarity in the Sean McVay and Matthew Stafford era. Joshua Karty hit five of six field goals in the game. They went 0 for 3 in the redzone and 0 for 1 with goal-to-go situations. Matthew Stafford was sacked four times in the game. The Rams had 327 total yards in the game while dropping to a 4-5 record in 2024. 

Next week:

Miami: vs Las Vegas
LA Rams: @ New England 

TW: 10-4

Records

2024:
Week 1: 14-2
Week 2: 10-6

Week 3: 10-6

Week 4: 10-6
Week 5: 3-11

Week 6: 13-1

Week 7: 13-2

Week 8: 9-7

Week 9: 12-3

Week 10: 10-4

Total: 104-48

2012: 164-90-2

2013: 162-92-1

2014: 172-83-1

2017: 164-92

2018: 156-98-2
2019: 161-94-1

2020: 167-88-1 

2021: 173-98-1
2022: 166-103-2
2023: 161-111

See you all on Wednesday/Thursday for the Week 11 Picks post! Enjoy your week!

-Tom

NFL 2024 Week 10 Picks

 Hello readers! Another week of National Football League action is coming upon us yet again. The week that was Week 9 brought us to the tipping halfway point of the season. As a result I will be posting the playoff picture from here on out until the end of the regular season.

NFL Playoff Picture: Week 10

Welcome to the first of many editions of the playoff picture. In this section I will be talking about the seeding, who might be playing come wild card weekend and who's still in the hunt and who's not. Let's start with the NFC.

NFC

Seeding

1st seed: Detroit Lions (7-1)

2nd seed: Washington Commanders (7-2)

3rd seed: Atlanta Falcons (6-3)

4th seed: Arizona Cardinals (5-4)

5th seed: Minnesota Vikings (6-2)

6th seed: Philadelphia Eagles (6-2)

7th seed: Green Bay Packers (6-3)

Super Wild Card Weekend Matchups

Green Bay @ Washington

Philadelphia @ Atlanta

Minnesota @ Arizona

In the Hunt

Tampa Bay (4-4), Chicago (4-4), San Francisco (4-4), LA Rams (4-4), Seattle (4-5), Dallas (3-5), Carolina (2-7), New Orleans (2-7), NY Giants (2-7)

A bit of an early projection for sure but the Lions are ahead based on winning percentage. Keep in mind the first four seeds are the division leading teams the three teams are wild cards. It could be that we have another case of a team with a better record visiting a team with a worse record in the wild card round (i.e. Minnesota and Arizona). Let's look at the AFC. 

Seeding

1st seed: Kansas City Chiefs (7-0)

2nd seed: Buffalo Bills (7-2)

3rd seed: Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2)

4th seed: Houston Texans (6-3)

5th seed: Baltimore Ravens (6-3)

6th seed: LA Chargers (5-3)

7th seed: Denver Broncos (5-4)

Super Wild Card Weekend

Denver @ Buffalo

LA Chargers @ Pittsburgh

Baltimore @ Houston

In the Hunt

Indianapolis (4-5), Cincinnati (4-5), NY Jets (3-6), Tennessee (2-6), Miami (2-6), Cleveland (2-7), Jacksonville (2-7), Las Vegas (2-7), New England (2-7)

Should keep in mind that the Bills host the Chiefs in Week 11. That might be a big game in the AFC assuming the Chiefs lose a game between now and then. Most of the seeding is a bit obvious as winning percentage and record is the tiebreaker. Some teams have had a bye week, while some haven't. Still early to make a definitive statement on who's winning the divisions. 

Week 10 Preview

The Tenth week of the National Football League's regular season will start in Baltimore, Maryland and finish up in Inglewood, California. Week 10 will have a 14-game slate where 28 teams will play. Teams on a bye this week are the Cleveland Browns, Green Bay Packers, Las Vegas Raiders and Seattle Seahawks. Week 10 will have a Thursday night game, a Sunday morning game, seven early games, three late games, a Sunday night game and a Monday night game. There will be four divisional matchups, six interconference games, two NFC games and two AFC games. FOX will have the single, regional game while CBS will carry the doubleheader this week. Let's get to the picks!

Week 10 Picks

Note: All game times are in US Eastern. TW is me and CV is Cardinal Viking, my former roommate.

Cincinnati (4-5) @ Baltimore (6-3) (Amazon; 8:15 pm)

Pick: Ravens

The Bengals beat the Raiders and the Ravens beat the Broncos last week. Joe Burrow and company showed the rest of the NFL what they are capable of when they have a good offense and can beat defenses. You might have to remember that the Raiders defense is not the Ravens defense. The last time these two teams met was a neck and neck contest where the Ravens got the last laugh with a Derrick Henry touchdown. That was in their own backyard this will be in M&T Bank Stadium. It could be a long one for the Bengals. 

Baltimore was a bit of a concern after a shocking loss to Cleveland in Week 8. You have to keep in mind that they were on a five-game winning streak. I have to think that in a divisional matchup on a short week, I would have to expect the passing game to be a more of an emphasis for the Ravens this week. You don't want to lose Derrick Henry in a short week. Maybe they might find some solace in the fact that the Bengals defense isn't that great and that they can gain a fair amount of yards. In terms of a short week, I think the Ravens will take this one. 

All-time series: Ravens lead 31-27

NY Giants (2-7) @ Carolina (2-7) (NFL Network; 9:30 am)

Pick: Giants

The Giants lost to the Commanders and the Panthers beat the Saints last week. This game will be in Munich, Germany in Allianz Arena. The Giants are at 2-7 on the season and pretty much their play speaks to their record. They're pretty awful. Still at least Daniel Jones has more touchdowns than interceptions. I think the Giants should do alright in this game as long as turnovers aren't an issue. The Panthers aren't a great team on either offense or defense. They're not a great defensive team. I'd like to see the G-men do a bit more of running the ball as they haven't had a big day running the ball. Give the Germany fans something to cheer about. 

Carolina had two rare things happen last week. They won a game and Bryce Young being the quarterback that lead them to the such win. The Panthers found a way to win and hung around with the Saints. It was enough for the Saints to fire their head coach Dennis Allen on Monday. Onto this game, the Panthers have some momentum going into this game. I like Chuba Hubbard as a running back as he just runs the ball and gets yards after the carry. The Panthers are still a mess on offense but at least they have something to work with. They're not a trainwreck. I think the Giants will win this game. 

All-time series: Panthers lead 7-6

Buffalo (7-2) @ Indianapolis (4-5) (CBS; 1:00 pm)

Pick: Bills

The Bills beat the Dolphins and the Colts lost to the Vikings last week. The Bills won against Miami but it was a close one. A bit of a closer one than they would've wanted as the Dolphins looked like what they should've been for most of the season. They did have that injury to Tua Tagovailoa for most of the season. Suffice to say, the Bills will need to get back to playing solid defense against the Colts. The Bills are still the class of the AFC East and I still think they should win in this game. They could find themselves in a trap game in a dome stadium. 

The Colts had a bit of a letdown last week with Joe Flacco last week against Minnesota. In previous games where Flacco started, he would get the Colts down the field and score touchdowns. The Colts in this game might find themselves in a bit of trouble. The Bills are a really good team and their quarterback needs to be slowed down as much as possible in order to win. He has yet to have a bad game outside of the Texans game. Maybe he might be due in this game? I think the offense of the Colts will need to be careful in passing against this defense. If they get a turnover, this might be a tough one for the Colts to win. I'll take Buffalo. 

All-time series: Bills lead 38-33-1

Atlanta (6-3) @ New Orleans (2-7) (FOX; 1:00 pm)

Pick: Falcons

The Falcons beat the Cowboys and the Saints lost to the Panthers last week. The Falcons got a big win against the Cowboys. Granted it was against the Cowboys who seem to be in a free fall. They also have Dak Prescott out for a few weeks too. How sad for them. Anyway, the Saints offense seems to be in a disconnect and their defense is also not that great either. It seems like a long time ago when the Saints won a game. It was also against the Cowboys when they won. I think the Falcons should find a way to win by getting the ball to their weapons. They have to step up as Drake London suffered an injury against Dallas. 

The Saints might've made the right decision in letting Dennis Allen go. His leadership was nearly non-existent and his team was somewhat dysfunctional. It was also perhaps because his team lost their 7th straight game after going on a 2-0 start. Darren Rizzi takes over the reins as head coach. The book on Rizzi is that he's a special teams mastermind who coordinated that unit for the Saints and the Dolphins. I'm not sure how well the team will respond to their new interim head coach. I have to think that they have issues outside of the head coach that they need to address. The defense is just one of them. I think the Falcons take this game as the Saints seem like a bit of a distraction filled at the moment. 

All-time series: Falcons lead 56-55

Denver (5-4) @ Kansas City (8-0) (CBS; 1:00 pm)

Pick: Broncos

The Broncos lost to the Ravens and the Chiefs beat the Buccaneers last week. The Broncos were having a successful season. Then the buzzsaw loss to the Ravens came. They perhaps might learn that they weren't as good as they thought they were. Perhaps it was a bit of a humbling loss. Suffice to say, I think we learned a bit more of the Broncos than the Ravens. Their defense kind of got exposed as they had Derrick Henry run all over them and the rest of the Ravens offense showed them off. That's okay, the Ravens were an angry team and they took it out on the Broncos. They have one tough team last week and another one this week. The Broncos have a long shot but they have a chance to win against the Chiefs. Bo Nix will be the key to do it. 

Kansas City is the last undefeated team in the NFL. They have an 8-0 record but their record kind of puts up a certain amount of deodorant to it. Or at least paraphrasing the late John Madden "winning is the great deodorant." The Chiefs finally have more touchdowns than interceptions for Patrick Mahomes. They added Josh Uche from New England to bolster the defense and DeAndre Hopkins to solidify the wide receiving corp. It seems like a team that is all full of stars. What more do they need? Despite the newest additions, they almost lost to the Buccaneers with no Chris Godwin and Mike Evans. I feel if the Chiefs lose at this point this season, it might be against the Broncos. I'll take a risk and take the Broncos. 

All-time series: Chiefs lead 72-56

Minnesota (6-2) @ Jacksonville (2-7) (FOX; 1:00 pm)

Pick: Vikings

The Vikings beat the Colts and the Jaguars lost to the Eagles last week. Minnesota got back into a winning column last week against Indianapolis. They did for the most part well enough. They had a good amount of offense in the game while taking advantage of turnovers that the Colts were giving them. In this game, I think they should have a solid shot to win. The defense of the Vikings should find themselves at an advantage as the Jaguars offense isn't that great they can put up points but they can give up turnovers as well. 

Jacksonville has been a rough team to watch as of late. They started off roughly against the Eagles but did start to comeback but they couldn't stop Saquon Barkley and the clock. Jacksonville cannot let a deficit happen like that. They cannot let Justin Jefferson go wild on the field and catch balls. They're not that good to do that. I think the case for the Jaguars to win will have to be a gameplan utilizing Tank Bigsby and the running game. I'll take the Vikings. 

All-time series: Vikings lead 6-1

New England (2-7) @ Chicago (4-4) (FOX; 1:00 pm)

Pick: Patriots

The Patriots lost to the Titans and the Bears lost to the Cardinals last week. New England has had a rough season, much like last year's team except probably worse defense. An offense that is a little better but not much. Drake Maye has been a bit of a success despite the losing. Last week against the Titans was a bit of a letdown as he both guided the Patriots to a overtime game but also costed them a chance to win. They will need to play a better game especially Maye as the Bears defense is not a slouch. Their wide receivers have yet to have a great game as they drop the ball way too much and they let down their quarterback a lot. I'm looking at Ja'Lynn Polk as one of the reasons why. 

Chicago has been a bit of a weird team. Their offense should be a lot better than they should be. They should have a lot more explosiveness on offense with Caleb Williams and the supporting cast that they have. They should find some solace in knowing that the Patriots defense is not great against the run. It was something that the defense took pride in last year. If they can open up the run game then the rest should fall in place. I really should trust the Bears in the game but they've let me down in the past and I don't want to take them again. I'll go with the Patriots. 

All-time series: Patriots lead 10-5

Pittsburgh (6-2) @ Washington (7-2) (CBS; 1:00 pm)

Pick: Steelers

The Steelers had a bye and the Commanders beat the Giants last week. Last time we saw the Steelers was a Monday night win against the Giants. They had a deficit early in the game but eventually did chip away from the G-men and won on the offense. The book on Russell Wilson as a Steeler has been kind of a success. He hasn't had a bad game so far. The Steelers defense got a bolster to their defensive line core with Preston Smith from Green Bay. It'll help get more of a pass rush with TJ Watt. It feels like a bit of a toss up of a matchup but the Steelers might find a tough test in this game. 

Washington has been arguably the biggest surprise this season. They are at 7-2 for the first time since 1996 back when they were still in RFK stadium. They ended up not making the playoffs that season as they fell apart. This team feels a bit better than that. Jayden Daniels has been a fun person to watch as he can beat you with his legs and arm. The defense has been a bit of an improvement with Dan Quinn as head coach fronting that unit. The game will be a battle of the defenses as the Steelers have a great rush defense and the Commanders have the best passing defense. I think if Najee Harris can have a good day, I'll take the Steelers. 

All-time series: Commanders lead 43-33-3

San Francisco (4-4) @ Tampa Bay (4-5) (FOX; 1:00 pm)

Pick: 49ers

The 49ers had a bye and the Buccaneers lost to the Chiefs last week. Last time we saw San Francisco was a win against the Cowboys. It was a close win but a win is a win. The story of the 49ers this season has been much of the same in one word: injuries. The offense has been really dealing with the injuries. Christian McCaffrey is close to being able to play but he is likely going to be available in a couple of weeks. We will have to see if Deebo Samuel will be available to play for this game. It might be a bit of a trying time for the 49ers. 

Tampa Bay had fought a tough game against the two-time defending champions. The Buccaneers defense was the unsung heroes in the loss as they kept the game close for their offense to do something. The losses of Mike Evans and Chris Godwin have had their effect. Cade Otton has been the workhorse that has had to take up the slack over the loss of the two. I am not sure how well the Buccaneers can do against the 49ers. I still feel the 49ers as a whole is a bit too much to handle. I'll take the 49ers. 

All-time series: 49ers lead 20-7

Tennessee (2-6) @ LA Chargers (5-3) (FOX; 4:05 pm)

Pick: Chargers

The Titans beat the Patriots and the Chargers beat the Browns last week. Tennessee got a win. It was a close win as it was an overtime win but the Titans now face against a better team in the Chargers. Mason Rudolph has been kind of an eh quarterback for the Titans. The trade of DeAndre Hopkins to the Chiefs definitely doesn't make his case any easier. Tennessee does have Tony Pollard who has been having a good year for them with 622 rushing yards and three touchdowns. I just don't see them winning this game. 

The Chargers are at 5-3 through nine weeks of the season. The turnaround is pretty profound as they have Jim Harbaugh. He probably should change his name to Jim Turnaround Harbaugh as he has had success in turnarounds with San Francisco, Michigan and now Los Angeles. The Chargers have been more of a running team since the ole ball coach became coach. Taking the pressure off of Justin Herbert. I think the Chargers should win this based on a balanced offense of pass and run. Essentially the same formula that has been working for them all season. 

All-time series: Chargers 29-19-1

NY Jets (3-6) @ Arizona (5-4) (CBS; 4:25 pm)

Pick: Cardinals

The Jets beat the Texans and the Cardinals beat the Bears last week. New York's season has been a bit of a rough one. They are at 3-6 and now face a must-win game yet again. Still the Jets are pretty much in a "run the table" or a "playoff game every game until the Super Bowl" mindset. Aaron Rodgers has had an alright season but he might be facing off against one of the underrated defenses in Arizona. I think the offense will do alright but man oh man the Davante Adams connection needs to do well. 

Arizona got a big win against the Bears last week. It was a game where the offense might've faced a challenge against the Bears defense. They proved that they could handle it and not only put up 29 points in the win last week, they held the Bears offense to under 10 points. James Conner had a good game and has been having a good season as well. Marvin Harrison Jr. has had a good season and has a good case for Offensive Rookie of the Year. The Jets might have a solid shot to win this game but I think their season is done. 

All-time series: Jets lead 6-4

Philadelphia (6-2) @ Dallas (3-5) (CBS; 4:25 pm)

Pick: Eagles

The Eagles beat the Jaguars and the Cowboys lost to the Falcons last week. Philadelphia had a really good game against the Jaguars. They really should've won that game by more but it was a closer result than what Eagles would've wanted. Saquon Barkley had a career day it feels with 212 all-purpose yards in the win against the Eagles. He certainly helped my fantasy team last week. The sad news is that he is also questionable in this game with a back injury. It seems according to Rotowire that he should be playing against Dallas. I think he will be needed for the Cowboys. 

Dallas has been having a rough season. The season got even worse with Dak Prescott being injured in the loss against Atlanta. It isn't season ending but it is a hamstring injury that will last for about 4 to 6 weeks. It will likely mean that Cooper Rush will get the start. He is a capable quarterback who has been in this rodeo before. Pun perhaps intended. The running game of Dallas has been the biggest thing that hasn't gotten going this season. It has to be a big thing to happen in this game. The Eagles will probably take this game but in rivalry games, anything is possible. 

All-time series: Cowboys lead 74-56

Detroit (7-1) @ Houston (6-3) (NBC; 8:20 pm)

Pick: Texans

The Lions beat the Packers and the Texans lost to the Jets last week. Detroit had a big win against rival Green Bay. They didn't even put up a lot of yardage in the win. The Packers gave them the ball and they just proceeded to do their thing. They kind of put up a cruise control win. They could've done more damage if they wanted to. Granted it was like 50 degrees and raining. The Lions in this game might be dealing with a team with the same caliber. The run defense might be facing against a decent test. 

The Texans lost a rough game against the Jets. They really got outplayed and got outmatched a bit. With the lengthy break after a Thursday night game they have at least some time to recover and gameplan against one of their biggest tests of the season. This game will give us info more on how well the Texans can play rather than the Lions. Stefon Diggs won't be able to play as he is dealing with a season ending ACL injury. That means their wide receivers will need to pick it up. The game might be a bit of a trying one for the Texans but I haven't done a lot of upsets in this post yet. I'll take a risk. 

All-time series: Texans lead 4-1

Miami (2-6) @ LA Rams (4-4) (ESPN; 8:15 pm)

Pick: Dolphins

The Dolphins lost to the Bills and the Rams beat the Seahawks last week. Week 10 wraps up with a decent matchup on ESPN and ESPN2. The game is decent as Tua Tagovailoa is back and he and the Dolphins nearly upset the Bills on the road. I have to think that the Bills are a pretty good team. If they can play as they did against them, who knows what it might be like against the Rams. They might need to ensure that Tua is still upright. At least you have to pump the brakes just a bit on the Dolphins. De'Von Achane will need to play a good game as well. 

The Rams are at 4-4. They got a good win against the Seahawks. It was an overtime win but a win is a win. As far as I'm aware, Puka Nacua will still be able to play despite being ejected in the win against Seattle because of throwing a punch. I guess red cards don't exist in NFL football. Soccer term in case you were wondering. The Rams defense will need to play a really good game as the Dolphins are playing better at least after a one game performance. If they can slow down Tyreek Hill, they might have a good shot to win this game. 

All-time series: Dolphins lead 12-2

Early & Late Game TV Broadcast Pairings

Note: Games in bold are being shown in my area, check local listings

CBS Early

Denver @ Kansas City

Kevin Harlan, Trent Green

Pittsburgh @ Washington

Ian Eagle, Trent Green

Buffalo @ Indianapolis 

Andrew Catalon, Tiki Barber, Jason McCourty

CBS Late

Philadelphia @ Dallas

Jim Nantz, Tony Romo

NY Jets @ Arizona

Spero Dedes, Adam Archuleta

FOX Single

New England @ Chicago

Kevin Kugler, Daryl Johnston

San Francisco @ Tampa Bay

Kevin Burkhardt, Tom Brady

Minnesota @ Jacksonville

Adam Amin, Mark Sanchez

Atlanta @ New Orleans

Joe Davis, Greg Olson

Tennessee @ LA Chargers (Late)

Kenny Albert, Jonathan Vilma 

For more information on which game is being shown in your area check out: NFL 2024 Week 10 Maps

Records

2024:
Week 1: 14-2
Week 2: 10-6

Week 3: 10-6

Week 4: 10-6
Week 5: 3-11

Week 6: 13-1

Week 7: 13-2

Week 8: 9-7

Week 9: 12-3

Total: 94-44

2012: 164-90-2

2013: 162-92-1

2014: 172-83-1

2017: 164-92

2018: 156-98-2
2019: 161-94-1

2020: 167-88-1 

2021: 173-98-1
2022: 166-103-2
2023: 161-111

See you all after the Monday night game for the Week 10 Recap! Enjoy the games!

-Tom