Wednesday, September 23, 2020

NFL 2020 Week 3 Picks

 Hello readers! Another week of National Football League action is soon upon us! Last week in picks was one of my best in quite a while. With a 15-1 record last week in picks, I would hope that my good luck continues into this week. In this post I'll talk about my picks for the Week 3 games. Let's get to work!

Week 3 Picks

Week 3 in the NFL's regular season starts in Jacksonville, Florida and ends in Baltimore, Maryland. The week features a full 16-game slate. There will be a Thursday night game, eight early games, five late games, a Sunday night game, and a Monday night game. FOX will carry the double-header and CBS will have a single, regional game. No teams are on a bye this week. Let's get to the picks!

Miami (0-2) @ Jacksonville (1-1) (NFL Network): TW: Jaguars; CV: Jaguars
Both teams lost last week as the Dolphins lost to the Bills and the Jaguars lost to the Titans. The week starts off with a probable toilet bowl game. If the game is anything like last week then I could be proven wrong again. I've been going against Gardner Minshew so far this season and I feel the time is right to give him another shot. Miami could possibly pull it off but can't go wrong with "The Moustache." 

LA Rams (2-0) @ Buffalo (2-0) (FOX): TW: Rams; CV: Rams
Both teams won last week as the Rams beat the Eagles and the Bills beat the Dolphins. It's Goff vs Allen in this one. Aaron Donald has been tearing up offensive lines this season and it'll be the big thing to watch in this one. Personally, I like the Rams in this one because of that and a re-envigored Rams offense. 

Houston (0-2) @ Pittsburgh (2-0) (CBS): TW: Steelers; CV: Steelers
The Texans lost to the Ravens and the Steelers beat the Broncos last week. It's the Watt Bowl as TJ and Derek Watt take on their older brother JJ Watt in this game. If Houston's defense continues to give up a lot of yards and points, this game will be over before it even began. Pittsburgh just looks too good on paper on both sides of the ball to let this one slip by them. 

Las Vegas (2-0) @ New England (1-1) (CBS): TW: Patriots; CV: Patriots
The Raiders beat the Saints and the Patriots lost to the Seahawks last week. The game looks good on paper. Two good quarterbacks in Cam Newton and Derek Carr looking to make some noise come January. It certainly feels like a tight match-up. On a short week, I don't know how the Raiders can handle going cross-country to New England. I'll take the Pats and their offense controlling the time of possession. 

Tennessee (2-0) @ Minnesota (0-2) (CBS): TW: Vikings; CV: Titans
The Titans beat the Jaguars and the Vikings lost to the Colts last week. Seriously Vikings, you shouldn't be this terrible to start the year. Sure your defense hasn't been the best thing since sliced bread but Kirk Cousins stinks right now. Dalvin Cook needs to get going as well. I think the Titans fall off the earth a bit and lose in a hostile environment in Minnesota. Get it done.

Washington (1-1) @ Cleveland (1-1) (FOX): TW: Browns; CV: Browns
The Football team lost to the Cardinals and the Browns beat the Bengals last week. The only real way the Football team can beat Cleveland in this one is make Baker Mayfield make mistakes. With a stacked offense and a defense to match, I don't know how Cleveland can keep up with them. 

Cincinnati (0-2) @ Philadelphia (0-2) (CBS): TW: Eagles; CV: Eagles
Both teams lost last week as the Bengals lost to the Browns and the Eagles lost to the Rams. Oddly enough this game features two top-10 pass defenses so far this season. Carson Wentz has been trigger happy with his throwing of the football, some of them go to the wrong guy. Both teams aren't likely to make it to January. Joe Burrow has been impressive so far this season and can get better if the Bungles give him some help on the offensive line and wide outs. My gut feeling is the Eagles find a way to eke out a win. 

San Francisco (1-1) @ NY Giants (0-2) (FOX): TW: 49ers; CV: 49ers
The 49ers beat the Jets and the Giants lost to the Bears last week. It's unlikely that Jimmy Garoppolo will make the start in this game so it'll be Nick Mullens time for now. San Fran will be without Nick Bosa, Raheem Mostert and George Kittle in this one. New York is hurting with injury as well as Saquon Barkley will likely miss some time as well. The game will be close but I think the 49ers will win with an otherwise balanced offense. Can't trust Daniel Jones with a limited slate of weapons to use. 

Chicago (2-0) @ Atlanta (0-2) (FOX): TW: Falcons; CV: Falcons
The Bears beat the Giants and the Falcons lost to the Cowboys last week. After blowing yet another lead, I have decided to pick the lowly Falcons in this game. Sure the Bears have given me some success in picks but I feel Atlanta is due for a win after a shit performance last week. If Atlanta's offense can get going and not let off the gas, they should get a win. 

Carolina (0-2) @ LA Chargers (1-1) (CBS): TW: Chargers; CV: Chargers
Both teams lost last week as the Panthers lost to the Buccaneers and the Chargers lost to the Chiefs. The debut of Justin Herbert was promising and with a Carolina team without Christian McCaffrey, it likely spells doom for Carolina and good news for the Chargers. With balance on the run and pass, I do like the Chargers in this game as they do have a defense that is better than Carolina's. 

NY Jets (0-2) @ Indianapolis (1-1) (CBS): TW: Colts; CV: Jets
The Jets lost to the 49ers and Colts beat the Vikings last week. New York is pretty much the reason why I should face wall myself every week. I predicted before the season that the Jets would finish 2nd in the AFC East. Obviously it hasn't looked like that in recent weeks. I'll take the Colts but the game will be close as as the new Philip Rivers is still the same as the old one. 

Dallas (1-1) @ Seattle (2-0) (FOX): TW: Seahawks; CV: Seahawks
Both teams got wins as the Cowboys beat the Falcons and the Seahawks beat the Patriots last week. Mike McCarthy got his first win in Big D in the biggest way imaginable. With some renewed vigor, perhaps this will be the week they actually start playing like the team they want themselves to be. Or the Seahawks will make a mockery of them and beat the crap out of them with Russell Wilson throwing for 400 yards. I'll take the latter. 

Detroit (0-2) @ Arizona (2-0) (FOX): TW: Cardinals; CV: Cardinals
The Lions lost to the Packers and the Cardinals beat the Football Team last week. DeAndre Hopkins was a steal so far for the Cards this season. With the Detroit Faux Patriots in town, I look to see if Kyler Murray can make a mockery of Matt Patricia's excuse of a defense. It's not like they also have the 32nd ranked rush defense right now. 

Tampa Bay (1-1) @ Denver (0-2) (FOX): TW: Buccaneers; CV: Buccaneers
The Buccaneers beat the Panthers and the Broncos lost to the Steelers last week. High altitude hasn't been Tom Brady's strong suit and quite often the Broncos have gotten the best of him in his career. With Jake Driskel getting the start for Denver, I would expect them to go more of an air attack and try to beat them with his arm. It seems like a close game and if Tom Brady can play smart football, I like the Bucs chances in this game. 

Green Bay (2-0) @ New Orleans (1-1) (NBC): TW: Packers; CV: Saints
The Packers beat the Lions and the Saints lost to the Raiders last week. The game feels like a shootout in the making. The Raiders exposed Drew Brees badly and his 5-yard throws won't likely get it done in this game. The question remains if the Saints defense can slow down Aaron Rodgers and Aaron Jones. So far no one has figured that question yet. I can't expect New Orleans to figure it out either. 

Kansas City (2-0) @ Baltimore (2-0) (ESPN): TW: Chiefs; CV: Chiefs
Both teams won last week as the Chiefs beat the Chargers and the Ravens beat the Texans. The week wraps up with two former MVP's against one another in Mahomes vs Jackson. Their previous games have been really good and honestly, I don't see this one being a disappointment either. Pass protection was a bit sloppy against the Chargers last week so I feel the Ravens will try to pressure Mahomes early and often. I think it will come down to whoever has the least mistakes and sustains drives. Can't make any mistakes with these two quarterbacks.

Local TV Schedule (courtesy of 506sports.com):

CBS Single:
Tennessee @ Minnesota
Andrew Catalon, James Lofton

FOX Early:
Chicago @ Atlanta
Kenny Albert, Jonathan Vilma

FOX Late:
Dallas @ Seattle
Joe Buck, Troy Aikman

Games are subject to change, for more information on which game is being shown in your area, check out: NFL 2020: Week 3 maps

2020 Week by Week Record: 

TW's record:

Week 1: 8-8
Week 2: 15-1
Total: 23-9

Cardinal Viking's record:

Week 1: 10-6
Week 2: 11-5
Total: 21-11

Previous Picking Records:

Cardinal Viking:

2017: 167-89
2018: 156-98-2
2019: 151-104-1

My record: 
2012: 164-90-2
2013: 162-92-1
2014: 172-83-1
2017: 164-92
2018: 156-98-2
2019: 161-94-1

I'll see you guys on Monday for the Week 3 Recap post! See you then!
-Tom

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