Wednesday, September 30, 2020

NFL 2020 Week 4 Picks

 Hello readers! Another week of National Football League action is soon coming to a living room near you. Last week brought me and Cardinal Viking a rougher time on picks but hopefully a rebound is soon upon us this week. A 9-6-1 finish last week could be better but it could've been a lot worse as well. In this post I'll talk about my picks for the week's upcoming games.

Week 4 Picks

Week 4 in the National Football League's regular season will start in East Rutherford, New Jersey and finishes up in Green Bay, Wisconsin. The week includes a 15-game (formerly 16-game, more on that later) slate. There will be a Thursday night game, nine early games, three late games, a Sunday night game, and a Monday night game. CBS will have the doubleheader, and FOX will have single, regional game coverage this week. No teams are on a bye this week. Let's get to the picks!

Denver (0-3) @ NY Jets (0-3) (NFL Network): TW: Broncos; CV: Broncos
Both teams lost last week as the Broncos lost to the Buccaneers and the Jets lost to the Colts. The week starts off with another snoozer most likely. Both teams are train wrecks but I feel the Broncos are due for a win and Jeff Driskel will get them to that destination. I can't trust the Jets offense to get anything to run, not even a blender. 

LA Chargers (1-2) @ Tampa Bay (2-1) (CBS): TW: Buccaneers; CV: Chargers
The Chargers lost to the Panthers and the Buccaneers beat the Broncos last week. The game intrigues me, not going to lie. The Rookie vs the Hardy Veteran in Tom Brady. It features two great defenses. I think what it will come down to is whoever can sustain drives and break the opposing defense. Hard to not take Tampa in this one... sorry Chargers. 

Jacksonville (1-2) @ Cincinnati (0-2-1) (CBS): TW: Bengals; CV: Jaguars
The Jaguars lost to the Dolphins and the Bengals tied against the Eagles. Alright Cincy, you've been so close to winning so many times this season, the time has finally come for you to get your first dub. Joe Mixon has been relatively quiet so far this season in running the ball and I would like to see him get more of it against this relatively mediocre Jaguars defense. Joe Burrow can't do it all alone. Get it done Bungles.

Minnesota (0-3) @ Houston (0-3) (FOX): TW: Texans; CV: Texans
Both teams lost last week as the Vikings lost to the Titans and the Texans lost to the Steelers. If you asked me that both teams would be 0-3 to start the season, I'd tell you're crazy. I can't keep trusting Kirk Cousins to make the right decisions anymore after this horrid of a start to a season after signing an extension. If Ryan Tannehill on an average day can best this defense then so can DeShaun Watson. At least give Bill O'Brien some hope. Hopefully this game won't get postponed either. 

Pittsburgh (3-0) @ Tennessee (3-0) (CBS): (Game Postponed) TW: Steelers; CV: Steelers
So the news came down this week that the Titans players and staff tested positive for Coronavirus and thus this game would get postponed until a later time. Only a matter of time before this had to happen. If it happens this week then I'll more than likely take the Steelers based on their offense and punishing defense  

Seattle (3-0) @ Miami (1-2) (FOX): TW: Seahawks; CV: Seahawks
Both teams took the dub last week as the Seahawks beat the Cowboys and the Dolphins beat the Jaguars. Russell Wilson has been a beast so far this season with 14 touchdown passes. With the loss to Chris Carson at running back, it will come down to Carlos Hyde and Travis Homer to get rush yardage for the Hawks in this one. Miami might make it a contest but I wouldn't be surprised if Wilson throws for five more touchdowns in this one. 

Indianapolis (2-1) @ Chicago (3-0) (CBS): TW: Colts; CV: Bears
Both teams got wins last week as the Colts beat the Jets and the Bears beat the Falcons. Nick Foles likely earned the starting role for this game instead of Mitchell Trubisky. Chicago has been very lucky so far this season and one would assume that their luck would run out in this one. If Philip Rivers throws interceptions then this one is over. Please Rivers don't be that guy. 

New Orleans (1-2) @ Detroit (1-2) (FOX): TW: Saints; CV: Saints
The Saints lost to the Packers and the Lions beat the Cardinals last week. Detroit surprised quite a few in beating the Cards last week, granted Arizona shot themselves in the foot a lot. Drew Brees may throw a pass for less than 10 yards but at least he can control the ball. Both running games have been quite good to watch. I'll take the Saints overall because of more offensive firepower. 

Cleveland (2-1) @ Dallas (1-2) (FOX): TW: Browns; CV: Cowboys
The Browns beat the Football Team and the Cowboys lost to the Seahawks last week. The game looks good than in previous match ups that usually end up in Dallas favor. Russell Wilson exposed the Cowboys secondary badly last week and I'm sure Baker Mayfield and Odell Beckham Jr. are salivating at the fact. Dallas is 23rd in stopping the run and that bodes well for the tandem in Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. I'll take the Brownies in this one. 

Baltimore (2-1) @ Washington (1-2) (CBS): TW: Ravens; CV: Ravens
Both teams lost last week as the Ravens lost to the Chiefs and the Football team lost to the Browns. Last week wasn't a good one if you were a Ravens fan. Patrick Mahomes made you his property, ravaged the countryside, salted the earth, etc. Fortunately you're playing a Washington team that won't likely have Chase Young in the defensive lineup. I can't see the Football team pulling off this one off. 

Arizona (2-1) @ Carolina (1-2) (FOX): TW: Cardinals; CV: Cardinals
The Cardinals lost to the Lions and the Panthers beat the Chargers last week. It would be more of an even matchup if Christian McCaffrey was back from injury but if Kyler Murray has a repeat performance from last week then this game could go in Carolina's favor. I personally don't see it as the Murray-Drake-Hopkins trio will likely reek havoc on an improving but mistake prone Panthers defense. 

NY Giants (0-3) @ LA Rams (2-1) (FOX): TW: Rams; CV: Rams
Both teams lost last week as the Giants lost to the 49ers and the Rams lost to the Bills. The Giants will be making their return to LA to take on the Rams for the first time since 1994. New York is a trainwreck of a team with a meager offense and a defense that ain't that much better. The Rams look like the polar opposite of the Giants in every way. I would say that the Rams will beat them by more than 10 points and if its less than that I'd be shocked. 

Buffalo (3-0) @ Las Vegas (2-1) (CBS): TW: Raiders; CV: Raiders
The Bills beat the Rams and the Raiders lost to the Patriots last week. Bills Mafia probably will hate me for saying this but you got lucky last week. Josh Allen literally saved you from going 2-1. Las Vegas has the means to really take this one out of the Bills defense with a balanced attack from the passing arm of Derek Carr and the legs of Josh Jacobs. Assuming the Raiders don't fumble the ball a lot, I think they have a legit shot at winning this one. 

New England (2-1) @ Kansas City (3-0) (CBS): TW: Chiefs; CV: Chiefs
Both teams got wins last week as the Patriots beat the Raiders and the Chiefs beat the Ravens. It seems like whenever these two teams play each other, its always a good game. I don't see this one being a blowout either. Both quarterbacks have speed and a plethora of weapons to go to if they need help. The game will probably come down to who can slow down the opposing offense more effective. I think the Chiefs have a better defense than the Pats but not by much I think.

Philadelphia (0-2-1) @ San Francisco (3-0) (NBC): TW: 49ers; CV: 49ers
The Eagles tied against the Bengals and the 49ers beat the Giants. San Francisco literally manhandled the Giants with their backup quarterback Nick Mullens. Mullens will likely get another start in this one. I would pull for the local boy Carson Wentz but Philly is a mess of a team and I can't trust him to throw no picks in a game at this point. 

Atlanta (0-3) @ Green Bay (3-0) (EPSN): TW: Packers; CV: Packers
The Falcons lost to the Bears and the Packers beat the Saints last week. Green Bay has been stellar this season so far. Aaron Rodgers hasn't thrown a pick so far *knocks on wood* this season. If Atlanta's defense shows up the way that it did against the Bears and Cowboys in the 2nd half, I feel the Packers have this one in the bag. 

Local TV Schedule:

CBS Early
Indianapolis @ Chicago
Greg Gumbel, Rich Gannon

CBS Late
New England @ Kansas City
Jim Nantz, Tony Romo

FOX Single
Minnesota @ Houston
Chris Myers, Brock Huard, Greg Jennings

2020 Week by Week Record

TW's record:

Week 1: 8-8
Week 2: 15-1
Week 3: 9-6-1
Total: 32-15-1

Cardinal Viking's record:

Week 1: 10-6
Week 2: 11-5
Week 3: 8-7-1
Total: 29-18-1

Previous Picking Records:

Cardinal Viking:

2017: 167-89
2018: 156-98-2
2019: 151-104-1

My record: 
2012: 164-90-2
2013: 162-92-1
2014: 172-83-1
2017: 164-92
2018: 156-98-2
2019: 161-94-1

I'll see you guys on Monday for the Week 4 recap post! Enjoy the games.
Tom

Update #1 (6:51 p.m. 10/03/2020): Changed CV's pick from Patriots to Chiefs. 

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