Hello readers! Another week of National Football League action has come to us yet again. With three weeks of play in the books, we are starting to see somewhat of what teams look like contenders and then the pretenders. At the start of week 3 there were numerous teams that had an undefeated record going into the week. In the aftermath of it, only three teams with no defeat: Miami Dolphins, Philadelphia Eagles and San Francisco 49ers. For this week, I'll keep an eye on the Lions-Packers, Ravens-Browns, Dolphins-Bills and the Commanders-Eagles matchups. In this post, I'll do a rant of the week, a week 4 preview, week 4 picks and the early and late TV broadcast pairings for CBS and FOX. Let's get to work!
NFL Rant of the Week
Broncos head coach Sean Payton last week was asked about how he thought about his team's 70-20 loss to the Dolphins. While most of the questions were earnest in how he thought his team handled the drubbing, the reporters probably already knew the answer to it. If you were a head coach and your team was blown out, how would you even handle it? I feel the answer is you can't. Despite the point differential, it's just one game. Granted that the Broncos are 0-3 to start 2023.Week 4 Preview
The fourth week of the National Football League's regular season will start in Green Bay, Wisconsin and finish up in East Rutherford, New Jersey. Week 4 will have a 16-game slate where all 32 teams will play. No teams are on a bye this week. The week features a Thursday night game, a Sunday morning game, nine early games, three late games, a Sunday night game and a Monday night game. FOX will handle the doubleheader and CBS will have the single, regional game this week. Let's get to the picks!
Week 4 Picks
Note: TW is me and CV is Cardinal Viking, my former roommate. All gametimes are in US Eastern.
The Bengals beat the Rams and the Titans lost to the Browns last week. Cincy finally got a win last week. Granted it was a close win. We seemed to learn a bit more about their team. Their identity seems to be a good defensive team that plays physical football. The jury is still out on their offense. Tennessee is a weird team. Their only win was a comeback win against the Chargers and they only put up 94 total yards against Cleveland last week. They're going to need to play better by getting more than 94 obviously. Ryan Tannehill has been kind of a letdown this season. I'll take the Bengals as I don't trust the Titans.
Baltimore (2-1) @ Cleveland (2-1) (CBS; 1:00 pm): TW: Ravens; CV: Ravens
Both teams lost last week as the Broncos lost to the Dolphins and the Bears lost to the Chiefs. Denver got badly humbled against Miami. Humbled is a bit of an under exaggeration. Their defense really took a dump in the last two games giving away 105 points. They're going to need to clean up their sloppy play and give their offense to play two-dimensional game. Chicago is kind of a mess in their own way. To give up 41 points to the Chiefs is somewhat of an expectation. Their offense hasn't done its job lately and unfortunately most of their woes is going to go to their quarterback Justin Fields. This game seems like an early definition of the "Toilet Bowl" and I would agree with myself. Fortunately someone will have to win this game or tie it. Either way someone will get their winning percentage up a bit.
LA Rams (1-2) @ Indianapolis (2-1) (FOX; 1:00 pm): TW: Rams; CV: Rams
The Rams lost to the Bengals and the Colts beat the Ravens last week. An intriguing matchup in Indy. The Rams have had some off games so far in 2023. They really had a shot to win against the 49ers but they just let the Niners have their way with them. Last week they had one of their worst games in the Matt Stafford era. Indy has somehow won two games when it was somewhat expected for them to lose a fair portion of their games. They've gotten it done with Gardner Minshew the last few weeks. They could very well play well enough to pull off a win. Despite this, I still kind of like the fact that the Rams offense has a new weapon in Puka Nacua. I'll take the Rams on the road.
Miami (3-0) @ Buffalo (2-1) (CBS; 1:00 pm): TW: Bills; CV: Dolphins
The Dolphins beat the Broncos and the Bills beat the Commanders last week. The matchup that might decide the fate of the AFC East and it comes in Week 4. Miami has looked unstoppable so far in 2023, with last week's 70-20 win over the Broncos as an example. They look unstoppable but they can be slowed down by a good defense. If the Bills can make Tua Tagovailoa uncomfortable in the pocket and contain the pocket then they have a good shot to bring the Dolphins down a peg. Buffalo is still the class of the division and unless Miami beats them they will stay that way. Miami seems to be the sexy pick but Buffalo's offense is just as good and they can keep Tua off the field.
Minnesota (0-3) @ Carolina (0-3) (FOX; 1:00 pm): TW: Vikings; CV: Panthers
Both teams lost last week as the Vikings lost to the Chargers and the Panthers lost to the Seahawks. A battle of the winless in Carolina. Minnesota should be the better team so far this season but they somehow let themselves get to a situation where the score is one score against them. Whether it be down by a decent margin late in the game, they decide to make a push to win it. Carolina is kind of in the same position. I like their running game to put up some good yardage but they have a defense that can give up points. I think the Vikings have a shot to win but they need to really want to win.
Pittsburgh (2-1) @ Houston (1-2) (CBS; 1:00 pm): TW: Steelers; CV: Texans
Both teams won last week as the Steelers beat the Raiders and the Texans beat the Jaguars. Pittsburgh seems to have find somewhat of an identity. To be a defensive team that can play some solid passing. Their weakness has been their running game. Houston got an upset win against the Jaguars. Their passing game really made some strides with CJ Stroud. He has yet to throw an interception so far in 2023. Keys to win for the Steelers is trying to get CJ Stroud uncomfortable and make his running game beat you. If the Steelers can contain them they should do well.
Tampa Bay (2-1) @ New Orleans (2-1) (FOX; 1:00 pm): TW: Buccaneers; CV: Saints
Both teams lost last week as the Buccaneers lost to the Eagles and the Saints lost to the Packers. We've had somewhat of a limited sample size for both teams. The Buccaneers offense didn't do much against Philadelphia which is granted as they are supposedly pretty good. It feels like Tampa is the more battle-hardened team. New Orleans might've taken that moniker if they defeated Green Bay. When you're up by 17 and shutting out said team, it feels that you should win said game. Both teams will learn about each other and this game might prove who is the better team in the NFC South. I'll take the Bucs in a risky pick.
Washington (2-1) @ Philadelphia (3-0) (FOX; 1:00 pm): TW: Eagles; CV: Eagles
The Raiders lost to the Steelers and the Chargers beat the Vikings last week. An intriguing matchup in the late window as the Raiders take on the Chargers. The Raiders lost a close game against the Steelers that they had a chance to win. Had Josh McDaniels try and go for it on 4th down instead of the field goal. A little bit of heat came off of Brandon Staley's seat. Don't get me wrong, that seat has to be a bit hot. The Chargers defense hasn't lived up to the moniker but safe to say their offense has kept them in games. Los Angeles seems to always play well against other teams but not against the Raiders for some odd reason. They have a chance to erase that. I'll take the Chargers.
Arizona (1-2) @ San Francisco (3-0) (FOX; 4:25 pm): TW: 49ers; CV: 49ers
Both teams got wins last week as the Cardinals beat the Cowboys and the 49ers beat the Giants. Arizona got a big win against the Cowboys in an upsetting fashion. San Francisco has just been dominating thus far in 2023. Definitely giving the Eagles a run for "who runs the NFC" conversation. Joshua Dobbs has yet to throw an interception in this game and they do possess a decent running game. Their defense has been at times good and bad. San Francisco would have to fall off a cliff to lose this game. Forcing Joshua Dobbs to beat you would have to be the defensive mindset for the Niners in this game. San Fran is favored by 14 in this game but I feel this game could be closer than that. Maybe by 10.
New England (1-2) @ Dallas (2-1) (FOX; 4:25 pm): TW: Cowboys; CV: Cowboys
The Patriots beat the Jets and the Cowboys lost to the Cardinals last week. Marquee game for FOX as New England makes the rare trip to Dallas. New England may have saved their season to avoid the dreaded 0-3 mark. The Patriots defense is definitely elite as their mere presence made Jets quarterback Zach Wilson look and feel like a 3rd or 4th stringer. New England's offense has been kind of the opposite. Some things that they did last week were good, while most of it was not so much. Dallas has played well enough to get to a 2-0 mark but faltered a lot against Arizona. They made uncharacteristic mistakes. They deservedly lost that game. This feels like a trying game for the Patriots to win as the defense will be on the field a lot in this game. That former Cowboy Ezekiel Elliott and teammate Rhamondre Stevenson will need to put forth a good game to keep Dak Prescott off the field. I think its a tough decision but I'll take the Cowboys. Did I also mention that Ezekiel Elliott makes his return to Dallas? I didn't... weird.
Kansas City (2-1) @ NY Jets (1-2) (NBC; 8:20 pm): TW: Chiefs; CV: Chiefs
Early & Late Game TV Broadcast Pairings
Note: Games in bold are being shown in my area, check local listings.
Jim Nantz, Tony Romo
Ian Eagle, Charles Davis
Records
Week 1: 10-6
2017: 167-89
2018: 156-98-2
2019: 151-104-1
2020: 163-92-1
2021: 167-104-1
2022: 157-112-2
Week 1: 9-7
Week 3: 11-5
2019: 161-94-1
2022: 166-103-2
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