Thursday, November 1, 2018

NFL 2018 Week 9 Picks

Hello readers! The time has come yet again to write up and post a column for the National Football League's 9th week of competition. The 9th week of the season is the mid-way point of the year, pretty much from here on out the week's get to the double digits and the playoff picture gets a bit clearer. We're still a few weeks away from really getting into the "playoffs" discussion. In this column, I'll talk about trades in the NFL, a recap of the trade deadline's moves, and of course the picks.

Trades in the NFL

When it comes to trades in sports, you usually hear more about trade news from such sports leagues like the NBA, MLB, and the NHL. A trade in the NFL, you don't really hear about it as much. Most often than not the reason for this is that the season is shorter, most teams are happy with what they have on their rosters, and the draft picks are in general more valuable as you can find a diamond in the rough than the other sports. Not also to mention that you have a free farm system in the NCAA to back you up.

If a team would trade something, that specific team would trade their player for a future draft pick. The name of the game is what you get out of that trade than what you give. If you trade your star wide receiver for a lower round draft pick (like a 5th rounder) then it wouldn't be as valuable since you get to pick later in the draft. It's all about relative value.

Secondary help in Washington, running back depth in Baltimore, and more.

The Green Bay Packers perhaps made the big news on trade deadline day as they would send Ha-Ha Clinton Dix and Ty Montgomery to Washington and Baltimore respectively. Clinton-Dix, the 5th year man out of Alabama, has recorded 27 tackles with three interceptions. Montgomery, ran the ball 26 times for 105 yards and a touchdown on the season. The Packers received a 4th-round pick for Clinton-Dix and a 7th-round 2020 pick for Montgomery.

A couple of wide receivers also got traded. Demaryius Thomas was traded to the Houston Texans for a 4th and 7th round picks. Denver would also trade a 7th-round pick to Houston as well. Thomas has received 402 yards and three touchdowns on the season. Golden Tate would be traded to Philadelphia for a 2019 3rd round pick. Golden Tate has 517 yards receiving for three touchdowns on the season. As far as who was the real winner of it all, it would be the Oakland Raiders. We shall see if these moves pay off for these teams in the future.

Cool video of the week

This week's cool of the week is a sort of a throwback to what the NFL was like 10 years ago. The NFL was a totally different place in 2008. Such things were: Tom Brady was out for the season due to a knee injury, the Patriots would not win the AFC East, Vince Young was a promising star in the league, Marshawn Lynch was playing for the Buffalo Bills, Brett Favre was traded to the Jets, and a promising quarterback named Aaron Rodgers would start his first full season in the NFL. The Youtube channel, KTO, is a pretty cool channel, check out the channel's other work.


Week 9 picks

Week 9 in the NFL regular season starts in Santa Clara, California and ends in Arlington, Texas. The Jacksonville Jaguars, Indianapolis Colts, Arizona Cardinals, Cincinnati Bengals, New York Giants, and the Philadelphia Eagles are on a bye week. CBS will have the single, regional game, and FOX will have the doubleheader. There will be a Thursday night game, seven early games, three late games, a Sunday night game, and a Monday night game. A total of 13 games. Let's get to the picks!

Oakland (1-6) @ San Francisco (1-7) (FOX/NFL Network): TW: Raiders; CV: Raiders
Both teams took losses last week as the Raiders lost to the Colts and the 49ers to the Cardinals. I might go on a whim and give the Raiders a nod in the matchup. CJ Beathard could not be starting due to a wrist injury and if that's the case then Nick Mullens would get the nod. The Raiders have some stability on the quarterback with Derek Carr and the Raiders defense could have a decent game against the Niners. Really bad game for Thursday night, which sadly goes together. 

Chicago (4-3) @ Buffalo (2-6) (FOX): TW: Bears; CV: Bears
The Bears got a win against the Jets and the Bills lost to the Patriots last week respectively. The Bears have been playing well on offense and had a rebound game against the Jets last week after giving up 30+ points to the Dolphins and Patriots. I feel the Bears will dominate on both sides of the ball as the Bills have no real answer on offense and their defense could give some trouble to the Bears but I'm not holding my breath on the Bills getting the upset. 

Pittsburgh (4-2-1) @ Baltimore (4-4) (CBS): TW: Steelers; CV: Steelers 
The Steelers got a win against the Browns and the Ravens lost to the Panthers last week. The game will come down to the Steelers offense vs the Ravens defense. Which one will break the other? Ultimately I like the Steelers chances in this one. If the Steelers can make a few big plays against the Ravens defense, with either Antonio Brown and James Conner helming the offense for Pittsburgh, I'll take them. The Ravens could very well win the game as well since they are at home. It's a huge game for both teams if they want to gain some ground on each other in the division. 

Atlanta (3-4) @ Washington (5-2) (FOX): TW: Redskins; CV: Redskins
Falcons were on a bye week and the Redskins got a win against the Giants last week. The game will come down to which offense shows up for the Redskins. Washington is 25th in overall offense on the season. The defense should be fine as they did pick up Ha Ha Clinton-Dix from the Packers this week. Alex Smith will need to step up in the air attack as the Falcons will try to focus on Adrian Peterson and try to shut him down. I'll take the Redskins due to their running attack and tight defense. 

Detroit (3-4) @ Minnesota (4-3-1) (FOX): TW: Vikings; CV: Vikings
Both teams took losses last week as the Lions lost to the Seahawks and the Vikings to the Saints. The game will come down to which team shows up for the Vikings. Will it be a dominating defensive effort for the Vikings or will it be like last week's Saints game for them? In a tight divisional race, I'll give the Vikes a benefit of the doubt as they still have a solid defense and an offense that can get going in a hurry. Give me the Purple & Gold. 

Kansas City (7-1) @ Cleveland (2-5-1) (CBS): TW: Chiefs; CV: Chiefs
The Chiefs got a win against the Broncos and the Browns lost to the Steelers last week respectively. The game will come down to if the Chiefs can avoid the trap game and get a win a hostile Cleveland crowd. If the Browns can avoid doing Browns things then they have a chance in the game. I can't hold my breath as the Browns did get rid of Hue Jackson earlier in the week. I'll take the Mahomes Train for another week. 

NY Jets (3-5) @ Miami (4-4) (CBS): TW: Dolphins; CV: Jets
Both teams got losses last week the Jets lost to the Bears and the Dolphins to the Texans. The game is really and truly a toss-up game. Not based on the fact that both teams are good, but that they're really bad. I'm only really taking the Dolphins because they're at home and the Dolphins offense is slightly better than the Jets. Not also to mention the last time that both teams were playing each other, Sam Darnold had a terrible game. 

Tampa Bay (3-4) @ Carolina (5-2) (FOX): TW: Panthers; CV: Panthers
The Buccaneers lost to the Bengals and the Panthers got a win against the Ravens. The game will come down to who will start for the Buccaneers this Sunday. Will it be Ryan Fitzpatrick or Jameis Winston? Such questions at quarterback have me questioning on if they can win. I'll take the Panthers in this one as they have a fun offense to watch and can play defense with the big boys (13th overall defense). Cam Newton could have a big game. 

Houston (5-3) @ Denver (3-5) (CBS): TW: Texans; CV: Texans
The Texans got a win against the Dolphins and the Broncos lost to the Chiefs last week. The game will feature a return of Demaryius Thomas to Denver. The game could be quite the offensive showcase for both teams but they also play good defense as well. Vegas as the Broncos as a 1-point favorite in the game. It's really a toss-up matchup. 

LA Chargers (5-2) @ Seattle (4-3) (CBS): TW: Chargers; CV: Chargers
The Chargers were on a bye and the Seahawks beat the Lions last week. The game is a really good matchup if you do enjoy offense vs defense. I like the Chargers in the matchup as they have a versatile offense, and it will depend on if they can have success against the Seahawks defense as it is ranked 5th in overall defense. The game will really come down to which team can control the line of scrimmage more. 

LA Rams (8-0) @ New Orleans (6-1) (FOX): TW: Saints; CV: Rams
Both teams got wins last week as the Rams beat the Packers and the Saints beat the Vikings. The game is the marquee game of the early/late games as both teams offenses are very stellar. The only question will be whether or not the Saints defense can rise to the challenge of stopping the Rams running game and forcing the Rams into being a one-dimensional offense. If they can do that they have a shot at forcing the Rams to lose for the first time this season, thus laying the ghosts of the 1972 Dolphins to rest for another year. Geaux Saints!

Green Bay (3-3-1) @ New England (6-2) (NBC): TW: Packers; CV: Patriots
The Packers lost to the Rams and the Patriots beat the Bills last week. The game is certainly a good one on paper but as far as both defenses goes, not so much. The two offenses feature two quarterbacks that wear #12 and are both quite good. The game will come down to which defense can step up and give their team's offense the best chance to win the game as both offenses will put points on the board. Don't let me down for another week, please Packers! 

Tennessee (3-4) @ Dallas (3-4) (ESPN): TW: Cowboys; CV: Cowboys
Both teams were on a bye last week. The week finishes up with a decent matchup in Texas. The Cowboys will have a new weapon in Amari Cooper to showcase how well he can run against a Titans defense that is ranked 11th in the league. The game will come down to which offense shows up to play. I'll take the Cowboys in the game as they might get a boost in the passing attack with Cooper in their lineup, as well as Ezekiel Elliot doing Ezekiel Elliot things. 

Local TV Schedule (via 506sports.com, subject to change):

CBS Single:
Kansas City @ Cleveland
Greg Gumbel, Bruce Arians, Trent Green

FOX Early: 
Detroit @ Minnesota
Thom Brennamen, Chris Spielman

FOX Late:
LA Rams @ New Orleans
Joe Buck, Troy Aikman

For more info on which game will be on in your area, check out: NFL Maps: Week 9

2018:
Week 1: 10-5-1
Week 2: 6-9-1

Week 3: 8-8
Week 4: 12-3
Week 5: 6-9
Week 6: 10-5
Week 7: 10-4
Week 8: 11-3
Overall: 73-46-2

Cardinal Viking
2018:
Week 1: 8-7-1

Week 2: 9-6-1
Week 3: 5-11
Week 4: 9-6
Week 5: 9-6
Week 6: 6-9
Week 7: 12-2
Week 8: 10-4
Overall: 68-51-2

Enjoy your Halloween, the weekend and the week's games. I'll see you guys on Monday for the week's recap column!
-Tom

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