Hello readers! Another week of National Football League action is coming upon us yet again. The week has come to give thanks. Thanksgiving and football is pretty much a tradition as much as turkey and pumpkin pie. The football is typically not as great but suffice to say, anything football wise is good while the tryptophan is coursing through your system. In this post we will do a playoff picture for Week 13, an NFL Thankful for 2024, a preview of the week and the picks for the week while including the Early & Late TV broadcast pairings that FOX and CBS will have for the Sunday afternoon games. A lot to cover, let's get to work!
NFL Playoff Picture: Week 13
With 12 weeks of the regular season in the books and six more weeks left of the regular season. Teams are still likely to be increasing their lead in their respective divisions. Let's take a look at the NFC first.
Seeding
1st seed: Detroit Lions (10-1)
Super Wild Card Weekend Matchups
Washington @ Philadelphia
In the Hunt
Arizona (6-5), Tampa Bay (5-6), LA Rams (5-6), San Francisco (5-6), New Orleans (4-7), Chicago (4-7), Dallas (4-7), Carolina (3-8), NY Giants (2-9)
Seeding
1st seed: Kansas City Chiefs (10-1)
Super Wild Card Weekend Matchups
Denver @ Buffalo
In the Hunt
Miami (5-6), Indianapolis (5-7), Cincinnati (4-7), Cleveland (3-8), NY Jets (3-8), Tennessee (3-8), New England (3-9), Jacksonville (2-9), Las Vegas (2-9)
NFL Thankful: 2024 Edition
With Thanksgiving coming on Thursday, the usual tradition on my blogs is to do a section on what team is most thankful on this Thanksgiving in 2024. It is more of a cheerful tone and perhaps a funny one. Here is the 2024 edition of NFL Thankful.
Week 13 Preview
The Thirteenth week of the National Football League's regular season will start in Detroit, Michigan and finish up in Denver, Colorado. It will have a 16-game slate where all 32 teams will play. No teams are on a bye this week. There will be six division games, six interconference games, two AFC games and two NFC games. Week 13 will have three Thursday games, a Friday game, seven early games, three late games, a Sunday night game and a Monday night game. The doubleheader this week will go to CBS and FOX will have the single, regional game. Let's get to the picks!
Week 13 Picks
Note: All game times are in US Eastern.
Chicago (4-7) @ Detroit (10-1) (CBS; 12:30 pm)
Pick: Lions
The Bears lost to the Vikings and the Lions beat the Colts last week. The first game of the Thanksgiving tripleheader features a fairly decent matchup as the Lions once again host against the Bears. Chicago comes into this game in a free fall. They have a 4-7 record and don't really have a lot going for them. They haven't had a really good game on offense since drubbing the Jaguars in London more than a month ago. It hasn't been the same since. If they want to win this game, they really need to play a great game on offense and keep the Lions offense off the field.All-time series: Bears lead 105-78-5
NY Giants (2-9) @ Dallas (4-7) (FOX; 4:30 pm)
Pick: Cowboys
The Giants lost to the Buccaneers and the Cowboys beat the Commanders last week. The 2nd game of the three games on Thursday is probably the snoozer game. The snoozer being as I will be done eating the turkey, dressing, mashed potatoes, etc by the time this game happens and I will either be snoozing or putting up xmas stuff. The game will feature two backup quarterbacks as Tommy DeVito will play for the Giants and Cooper Rush will play for the Cowboys. New York comes into this game with a rough season as their team is really going nowhere. At least folk hero Tommy DeVito will be playing and the Godfather memes will increase. The Giants could be a decent shot to win this game. One reason is that the Cowboys are terrible at home in Jerry World. Another reason is depending on where the sun is, the Cowboys could be blindsided in their own stadium while attempting to play football. I don't trust the Giants.All-time series: Giants 76-47-2
Miami (5-6) @ Green Bay (8-3) (NBC; 8:20 pm)
Pick: Packers
The Dolphins beat the Patriots and the Packers beat the 49ers last week. The final game on Thanksgiving Thursday is a pretty solid game as most people are likely awake from the food coma and out shopping either at home or among the crazy people. Miami had a solid win against the Patriots. They are one of the hotter teams in the NFL as they have won three consecutive games. Their passing game is one of the better. The running game had a bit of a letdown against New England as a collective they had less than 100 yards rushing. They need to do that a bit more as the weather in Green Bay is likely going to be cold and to a point where the pass will be a bit more ineffective than running it. Miami hasn't had a lot of luck against above .500 teams as well. I think the Dolphins might struggle in this one.All-time series: Dolphins lead 10-6
Las Vegas (2-9) @ Kansas City (10-1) (Amazon; 3:00 pm)
Pick: Chiefs
The Raiders lost to the Broncos and the Chiefs beat the Panthers last week. The 2nd annual Black Friday game offers an interesting matchup as the Raiders-Chiefs meet for the 2nd time this season. Las Vegas comes into this game with a rough season. Their 2-9 record is pretty evident of the fact. Aidan O'Connell is out and Gardner Minshew is likely out as well for this game. Minshew started last week's game and left with a shoulder injury. Desmond Ridder is likely the quarterback for this one. The sample size for the player is a bit limited but he hasn't done that great. The best chance for the Raiders in this game is to not beat themselves and hope that the Chiefs are willing to make mistakes.All-time series: Chiefs lead 74-55-2
Houston (7-5) @ Jacksonville (2-8) (FOX; 1:00 pm)
Pick: Texans
The Texans lost to the Titans and the Jaguars had a bye last week. Houston is a bit of a weird team at this point this season. They can look really good but then play pretty roughly. The loss to the Vikings was a bit of a given as they are a good team. Last week's loss to the Titans was a bit of a surprise as the Titans are a bit of a rough team around the edges. A Titans team that is currently 3-9 and are only a half game up on the Jaguars in the rough AFC South. I get that the injuries have been a bit of an issue to the Texans but it is but a small excuse. Their defense kind of got exposed a bit against Tennessee. What can happen against the Jaguars.All-time series: Texans lead 30-15
Arizona (6-5) @ Minnesota (9-2) (FOX; 1:00 pm)
Pick: Vikings
The Cardinals lost to the Seahawks and the Vikings beat the Bears last week. Arizona was having a pretty solid season so far. Then the loss to the Seahawks happened. Their offense had an unusual off day as they scored just six points. The run game couldn't do a whole lot and in effect the passing game kind of fell apart as well. Heck Kyler Murray's interception was a pick-six. The weird thing is that the Seahawks defense was not having a great year, especially earlier in the year. They could've really done something but they went back to their old ways and fall apart.All-time series: Vikings lead 18-12
Indianapolis (5-7) @ New England (3-9) (CBS; 1:00 pm)
Pick: Patriots
The Colts lost to the Lions and the Patriots lost to the Dolphins last week. Indianapolis is still at a position to take the division as they are just two games back against the Texans. With a 5-7 record they would have to win out the rest of the way it seems. With a win against the Patriots they do their part against a relatively okayish Patriots team. I tend to lean a bit more towards how well the offense can do against an average Patriots defense. Anthony Richardson is a bit of a wild card when it comes to this. I don't trust him or the Colts.All-time series: Patriots lead 53-31
LA Chargers (7-4) @ Atlanta (6-5) (CBS; 1:00 pm)
Pick: Chargers
The Chargers lost to the Ravens and the Falcons had a bye last week. Jim Harbaugh lost to big brother John last week. The loss kind of hurt a bit as JK Dobbins left with an injury. The running back is their best running back with 766 rushing yards and scored eight touchdowns this season. The loss means a bit more of a workload on Gus Edwards which I think he will do fine. He is a former Raven after all as well as Dobbins. The Chargers come into this game with a 7-4 record which is still a pretty solid one at that. I think the key will be how well the running game can do against the Falcons which isn't an awful rush defensive unit.All-time series: Falcons lead 8-4
Pittsburgh (8-3) @ Cincinnati (4-7) (CBS; 1:00 pm)
Pick: Steelers
The Steelers lost to the Browns and the Bengals had a bye last week. Last week, the Steelers faced the Browns and the weather in Cleveland. While it was a fun one to watch for those in warmer environments, it was not a kind one for the Steelers. The offense was the better one but in terms of points, the Steelers failed in that regard. It was a weird game for the defense as they allowed 24 points on them. The run defense was a bit of a missing link. They will need to get back to playing better. Unfortunately, they play against rival Cincinnati who has a good offense. Yes the Bengals are down but they are not certainly out. They can certainly play spoiler.All-time series: Steelers lead 70-39
Seattle (6-5) @ NY Jets (3-8) (FOX; 1:00 pm)
Pick: Seahawks
The Seahawks beat the Cardinals and the Jets had a bye last week. Seattle got a win against Arizona. The game was a big one as the defense was really good in shutting down the Cardinals good offense. They didn't have a great day on offense as they scored just nine points as a whole (the other seven was on a pick-six). Seattle comes into this game with a win in their books and they have to feel good about their defense as they take on the inept Jets offense. If they can handle Kyler Murray, they should be able to handle Aaron Rodgers.All-time series: Seahawks lead 13-8
Tennessee (3-8) @ Washington (7-5) (CBS; 1:00 pm)
Pick: Commanders
The Titans beat the Texans and the Commanders lost to the Cowboys last week. Tennessee got a surprise win against Houston. They were in a dogfight against the top dog in the AFC South and managed to win it. Will Levis had one of his better games in the game and Tony Pollard got yardage. If they can repeat the same performance and have a solid defense like they do, they can possibly win again. It feels a bit of a long shot as the Commanders do have a good team.All-time series: Titans lead 8-6
Tampa Bay (5-6) @ Carolina (3-8) (FOX; 4:05 pm)
Pick: Buccaneers
The Buccaneers beat the Giants and the Panthers lost to the Chiefs last week. Tampa looks like they're back to playing well as they really manhandled the Giants on the road. Yes I get it, they played against the Giants which are awful. The team needs a bit of confidence in a division game in Carolina. As long as the Buccaneers play up to their potential and not turn the ball over they should have an advantage to win this game. Carolina is nearly dead last in total offense and total defense. Having Chris Godwin back is nice to have for the Bucs I would imagine.All-time series: Panthers lead 25-22
LA Rams (5-6) @ New Orleans (4-7) (FOX; 4:05 pm)
Pick: Rams
The Rams lost to the Eagles and the Saints had a bye last week. Matthew Stafford and company had a rough one against Philadelphia. It was primarily done by one man: Saquon Barkley. Barkley had 255 rushing yards and 47 receiving yards in the game. Safe to say, the Rams won't have to play the Eagles again at least until January assuming the Rams move that far past Week 18. Coming into this game, the Rams have a decent shot to win this game. Los Angeles just needs to look past the fact that they get to face off against Alvin Kamara this time. The Rams defense will have a tough test that's for sure but I think the offense can put up a good fight.All-time series: Rams lead 44-35
Philadelphia (9-2) @ Baltimore (8-4) (CBS; 4:25 pm)
Pick: Ravens
The Eagles beat the Rams and the Ravens beat the Chargers last week. This one is quite the game as it is being broadcasted nationally on CBS. The Eagles last week had a great game in running the ball with Saquon Barkley getting 302 all-purpose yards. I do have to wonder if the gas ran out a bit on the running back. For him to get to 2,000 yards rushing he would have to get at least 102 yards/game to achieve it. The case for him to get to that 102 yard mark might be a bit interesting.All-time series: Ravens lead 3-2-1
San Francisco (5-6) @ Buffalo (9-2) (NBC; 8:20 pm)
Pick: Bills
The 49ers lost to the Packers and the had a bye last week. San Francisco had a bit of a problem against the Packers. It is a similar problem that they have had for a few years now. The problem is injuries. The loss to the Packers was a 38-10 score that didn't have Brock Purdy, Nick Bosa and Trent Williams playing in it. They obviously need to have them back as soon as possible as they take on arguably the class of the AFC in Buffalo. Fortunately, Brock Purdy is doing some light throws and there were no complications of it as he has been dealing with a shoulder injury. The presence of Nick Bosa is obvious as he makes a defense better as he can double team him, leaving opportunities to get to the quarterback. It might be a strange game for the 49ers.All-time series: Bills lead 7-6
Cleveland (3-8) @ Denver (7-5) (ESPN; 8:15 pm)
Pick: Broncos
The Browns beat the Steelers and the Broncos beat the Raiders last week. Cleveland had a fun time in the snow and more importantly beating rival Pittsburgh. If only more games were in the snow. Cleveland has rest advantage in this game as they did play last Thursday. Denver played on Sunday. Can it be a bit of an advantage? Maybe but I feel more than a week can take you out of whack. I think the Browns will face a challenge in this game as the elevation and the Broncos defense will try to take the Browns offense out of whack. Jameis Winston will face an interesting test as he take on them. The Browns defense will face a challenge as well as Bo Nix has been playing really well as a rookie.All-time series: Broncos lead 25-7
Early & Late Game TV Broadcast Pairings
Note: Games in bold are being shown in my area, check local listings
CBS Early
For more information on which game is being shown in your area check out:
Records
Week 1: 14-2
Week 2: 10-6
Week 5: 3-11
2019: 161-94-1
2022: 166-103-2
2023: 161-111
See you all after the Monday night game for the Week 13 Recap! Enjoy the games!
-Tom
No comments:
Post a Comment